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That 26 foot rise on that river in one hour was pretty crazy, I'm not sure if there was much that could have been done. They did have flash flood warnings out from what I read, but the expectation was for 4-6 inches of rain not the 20+ inches that actually happened. That's where I think climate change comes in, a warmer atmosphere holds more moisture and thus makes events like these more likely.
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2025-2026 ENSO
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I noticed it was warming as early as 09-10. There were some really warm periods in between those storms, and it didn't get down into the 10s like blizzards of the past. I think whatever "hits" takes a few years to be in effect, and that happened well before the 15-16 Strong El Nino. -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
SACRUS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
87 / 75 -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
Damage In Tolland replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
This might be the most people I’ve seen out and about exercising, laughing etc all summer. Except perhaps for maybe the 100 degree day -
Im done with this humidity. I quit.
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July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
dendrite replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
83.5/71 Soupy morning -
Heavy, heavy rain in Huntingtown. Looks, feels and sounds like a jungle out there.
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Wherever that shield of rain sets up this PM is gonna get a deluge - looks like eastern shore and Delaware most likely for that...
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July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
Torch Tiger replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Gorgeous in Goffstown. Everyone's out and about enjoying the nice wx -
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Obviously hurricanes Florence and Michael had catastrophic flood events for parts of central NC but that was mostly east of the areas impacted by Chantal. I think these areas you’d have to go back to 1996 Hurricane Fran to find anything close to this. You keep seeing the record crests from that storm mentioned in NWS flood forecasts as it was the benchmark for these areas in terms of river flooding which makes this all the more impressive
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2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Well, the 2013-2014 and 2014-2015 winters were both cold, which is why most consider the super El Nino of 2015 as being the catalyst. -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
Stormlover74 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I've spent so much time debunking the myth we had an ef-1 tornado. Some fake site picked up that a tornado hit and now everyone on fb is quoting it as legit including the mayor and local officials. So annoying -
When was the last single event for which most of this section of central NC received this much rainfall within a 24 hour period?
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July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
DavisStraight replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
82/74 double yuck -
We've had not many MCS's making it east at all this summer, wonder if this might be the first summer without being affected by a derecho in years
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2025-2026 ENSO
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I'd argue the extreme winter warmth started in 2011-12. That's around the time the frequency of record low seasons picked up in Baltimore and DC. Baltimore 2011-2012 0.0 T T T 0.0 T 1.3 0.5 T 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.8 2012-2013 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 T 1.4 2.9 0.5 3.2 T 0.0 0.0 8.0 2013-2014 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 T 2.9 9.8 14.2 12.1 T 0.0 T 39.0 2014-2015 0.0 0.0 T 0.0 0.3 0.2 5.9 14.6 7.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 28.7 2015-2016 0.0 T 0.0 0.0 0.0 T 30.0 2.6 2.5 T 0.0 T 35.1 2016-2017 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 T 0.7 T 2.3 0.0 T 0.0 3.0 2017-2018 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.3 2.2 2.2 6.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.4 2018-2019 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.7 0.0 7.8 6.1 2.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 18.3 2019-2020 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 T 0.3 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.8 2020-2021 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.6 4.3 5.0 0.0 T 0.0 0.0 10.9 2021-2022 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 T T 13.3 0.7 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.4 2022-2023 0.0 T 0.0 0.0 0.0 T T 0.2 T T 0.0 0.0 0.2 2023-2024 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 T T 9.1 2.2 T 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.3 2024-2025 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 T T 8.9 3.8 T 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.7 DC 2011-2012 0.0 0.0 0.0 T 0.0 T 1.7 0.3 T 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2012-2013 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 T 0.2 0.9 0.4 1.6 0.0 0.0 T 3.1 2013-2014 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 T 1.5 6.6 11.2 12.7 T 0.0 0.0 32.0 2014-2015 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 T T 3.6 9.8 4.9 T 0.0 T 18.3 2015-2016 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 18.8 3.1 0.3 T T 0.0 22.2 2016-2017 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 T 1.4 T 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.4 2017-2018 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.9 1.2 0.2 4.5 T 0.0 0.0 7.8 2018-2019 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4 0.0 11.5 3.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 16.9 2019-2020 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.2 T 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 2020-2021 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 T 2.6 2.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.4 2021-2022 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.3 T 0.9 0.0 T 0.0 13.2 2022-2023 T 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 T T 0.4 T T 0.0 0.0 0.4 2023-2024 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 7.8 0.1 T T 0.0 0.0 8.0 2024-2025 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 T 0.1 8.3 6.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.9 However, if you take a closer look at the last 2 years, you'll see an increase in snow. I wonder if this is the start of the tide turning, or if it's just a tease. But it's important to note that Baltimore and DC have seen snow the last 2 years, especially in 2024-25. That didn't really happen much from about 2016-17 to 2022-23. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
Typhoon Tip replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
yeah, more meme-able adjectives. LOL make it worth doom-scrolling time with quality dystopian addiction drip. j/k. I used to like the term "thundershowers" ? They used to have that in NOAA weather radio days of like circa 1978... I know ( dating myself...) because I was lad then, curled up with my AM radio like "normal kids" would cuddle a pet, waiting for the next pre-recorded run through of the forecast hoping and praying for a tornado watch. Anyway, when they said thundershowers, I knew it wasn't a big deal. They said thunderstorms when there were elevated risk days. -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
forkyfork replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
the mesos that do show storms focus around the parkway -
Man if anyone in the metros gets even a few hours of sun today it's going to be rank.
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July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
Angus replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
I'm pretty familiar with the Texas Hill country. Frankly, a spectacular area with rivers, springs, rolling hills and limestone cliffs. The area is home to many summer camps which families attend generationally. The storms that build up in this area are crazy. When I lived in Austin in the 80's there were a # of times when I would look west and think the end of the world was coming due to the approaching storm intensity. -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
forkyfork replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
how does a radar site crucial for a big metro area break down every month -
First *we'd* need to actually have an MCS over here. Although at least we have been doing pretty decent with the popups around Madison.
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Pouring in downtown Baltimore at the moment.
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July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
Typhoon Tip replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
sorry about all that... I'm furloughed this week so idle hands. LOL -