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Aunt Balls Uncle

Good for surge, catastrophic for rain and subsequent mudslides. Think about 30+ inches of rain that is not going to get absorbed by the ground but just flow down the mountainsides down into the coastal plain areas. All those green areas are going to be flooded.

Time for a rant about getting missed. OK last night we eked out 1.5 inches. But tonight we were supposed to get another 2 inches. Those storm are 5 miles away. I can see them! We are gonna miss by only a few miles. I just covered my car with a tarp. Automatic JINX. Every time I do that ----- We get missed. Lucy loves this place, and my damn back is so sore from Lucy yanking that accursed football out from under me every time I try for a 10 yard field goal. Damn. I hate living in Death Hell Valley, Texas. There is nothing worse than living in an arid place. I'd take 1000 years of 32.9 degrees with 7,000 inches of rain a year and my house is on titanium stilts 300 feet high. This is a kind of living death watching all my precious plants slowly dying of drought. Drought is a way of life in south central Texas.

This doesn't really affect the EMI very much since 1.2 is so minuscule and variable....the reason the EMI is biased east based is because La Niña has and will continue to be centered in region 3 and the eastern half of 3.4.

Yeah, I think he's around 75 now or so. I definitely am glad hes still around.

Good to know he’s doing well!

I put the furnace on this morning to get the chill out. I’ve been dying to make a fire but it’s too warm

Posts elsewhere and is still amazing. His local weather knowledge is second to none.

We never learn.

This is the new limit.

I’m guessing that is temporary. The structure is about as good as it gets. Look at this TDR

Winter lovers have got to be loving the latest weather pattern. This would translate to easy snowstorms during the winter wheelhouse.

thank you @WestBabylonWeather for making this video

Still 971 mb... no drop over the last 90 minutes.

Keystone open today at 3pm in order to beat A-Basin for earliest opening, ha. I love the race to open out there.

Should be a fun night in the mountains of Washington State. Perhaps they will get more snow tonight and tomorrow than what we will see in 2+ years. I remember being up there in September a few years ago near Leavenworth, WA and there was snow/sleet with accumulation at some higher elevations.

There would be pitchforks throne. Although 46 days is a little much.

This has to be absolute worst case scenario for Jamaica. A slow moving, strong cat 4/cat 5 approaching from the south-southwest. Can’t really think of anything worse.

Interesting radar in the last hour. It started with what looked like concentric eyewalls, now there are about 4 or 5 mesovortices and the old inner eyewall is one of them.

Maybe im super late and don’t know but what ever happened to Uncle W? I was reading the boxing day blizzard threads and saw his name pop up

Fortuitously, their topography overall is well suited to absorb surge. From the NHC storm surge risk map for a Category 4, red being 9 ft AGL inundation:

WB 30 day Nov. 9 through Dec. 9 from the EPS weeklies. I think this November-December period could be different from last year. I mean, we saw no sustained cold air before mid/ late January last year. The mean looks pretty good and the control shows an extreme in a good way in the long range. At least we may have a chance of some snow before Christmas this year.

Thank you for the info, IAD seems to be an ice box compared to the other climate sites.

Can a mod just ban any map beyond 144hrs?