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It is snowing outside here in Hickory! Completely unexpected.

I’d be embarrassed to have my head as far up my ass as you do.

It was a bit better than I thought, but overall I think it's time to temper expectations a bit.

Gonna look pretty cool at the heritage museum lights. Hope you get at least a couple.

Seriously who or what do we need to sacrifice tomorrow to make it snow?

Hard to take the nam seriously even close to an event. It has failed so many times. But this is a progressive pattern so 1-3 is a good call.

Nothing impressive. 1-3" is my call. The storm seemed to lose that vort hang back, jog north that was being advertised on the 12/10 18z Euro. That would've made it interesting. Also, definitely not buying the 6z Euro's .5 liquid..which would be 4-6"

Well where ever the first bands sets up... looks to be where it stays.

That's awesome I hope all is well

Graupel Alert

3K NAM also moved SE, with 1-2" for the area now.

She probably saw some rogue CFS frame from 400 hrs out, posted by a FB page with a name like “SEVERE APOCALYPTIC SNOW WEATHER CENTER. NET.” She’ll call all Mets liars for it not verifying.

Yeah, had the same Pattern came later that we've been in it's possible if not probable we'd gotten Snow from the cold rain and mix one's we got. I remember doing same as you. When the cold dropped down from North Dakota and Minnesota. Fun times watching Margie Isom . Use to Snow would hit Memphis then Chatt and spread up the Valley. The whole Valley would get in on many of the Snow storm's. Miller A's were more prevalent.

It's usually an awful model close to an event

One other point about the "if you don't exceed 4 inches by end of December, it's going to be a below average year" rule of thumb...you're kind of cheating if you use December to predict the full winter (which includes December). Much more meaningful test of predictive power would be "If you don't exceed 4 inches by the end of December, then the REMAINING portion of the winter would be below average. Obviously, with Nov+Dec generally not accounting for a very large proportion of the winter's snow, it's not a HUGE problem, but this like a less extreme version of saying "If a hitter is batting below .300 on September 1st, he's unlikely to hit .300"...obviously true, but not much of a prediction of what will happen

I hear ya. Hope you can make it for a bit. Family def. comes first.

NAMS looks awful for just about everyone

Flurries here in downtown Raleigh as of 9:50am

NAM trend .

yo yeah not sure yet. It may be a last minute thing. I have a huge family. Not sure if I've ever exposed this but I have 9 sisters and they all have demands of one another's time - including their sole bro. Since, truth be told, there are only 7 still living, that's like a political urgency to be ... anyway, there's a thing tomorrow - not sure how long. There's some conflict there.

Obligatory “looking out the window to gauge accumulation” picture, first one while in Montana. Still snowing, supposed to taper off by noon. Will my first official storm here (was back east for the Thanksgiving one) give me the foot-plus I’ve been chasing for like a decade? Still coming down good currently.

Would be funny if we all got a coating to an inch or less and it was all done before sunrise so no one saw a flake..

Still like 1-3” area wide…

1-3 seems like a good call this AM;

Once we get to Dec 17th, the SE will have had virtually every day colder than normal for 3 weeks. In addition, much of NC will have had 3 snows even though mainly minor. In the past few decades, only 2010 will have been clearly colder for that same period and 2002/2000 close, but none of those had 3 different snows in the RDU/GSO area. 1989 was the last time it was this cold and with 3 snows during this early period.