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Looks like it's hung up in CNE at 72h....18z Mon....we really want that further south for maintaining snow down to BOS to MMK line unless the mechanics of this change a bit. One of the things that happens if you drive the height field lower over us prior to that approaching shortwave, is that it creates more confluence when that shortwave approaches. We saw a bit of this on some prior runs a few days ago when that high was kind of sticking near CAR longer before finally retreating....I made the comment that some areas could get a good front-ender even if it flipped. The trend has been away from that for several cycles now, but if it trended even a little back toward that, it would make a huge difference....particularly for people closer to the coast and further south. I don't think it's a big deal over the deeper interior.

Weeklies

Enjoy that--i only saw them once. Great show. I think it was Paul O'Neil's last tour before he died.

It was more like 2.5-3 overnight here…stopped at some point then started back up around 730am. 5” measured since 930 when it was shoveled. It is really good out there. Last year thanksgiving weekend was best in years, but this is better… .

Cold is coming

As I’m sitting here watching college football listening to my father-in-law repeat whatever the commenters say I’m reminded of last year when he was here around Christmas…and used my snow board as a serving tray for the wildlife place to dump leftover food on…yeah, the wife had to talk to him about that.

Hold your loved ones safe

Ya we got free tickets so something different to do

Moderate to occasionally heavy upslope here for the past few hours. I think we've gotten 2" or so but it's hard to tell because the wind is so strong it just blows it around. 19F right now.

Nice little squall in Brookline where I am.

Nah he knows when I get excited it’s go time. But he gives me shit sometimes when I’m down on an event. At least he remembers blizz 22 well. I said it took me over 16 1/2 years to see anything like that and that was way more ferocious.

18z wasn't as nice on nam's as it was on 12z for here. Im so close to being in that jackpot zone. Still will be a solid storm and will beat anything I got last year by a long shot. But man a slight shift south would be nice. Ha

Squally...

Went one year, they put on a pretty good show.

18z 3k NAM came in nice and healthy.

November and during the day!!!!

Just checked radar and wow! Is anything even close to reaching the surface?

In November, no less. Hoping for 8” here, anything more is bonus snow.

That would work. We should be close to that rogue EC run that looks to end the world and then "returns to the regular program, already in progress."

Ensembles have been juiced and most of the short range guidance (18z) is increasing qpf as well. Also trending better for the eastern side of the state.

Yes it’s better if it snows before mid December in our northern and colder regions but it’s even better if the storm hits everyone. I know it was in jest.

You should see the weather models up here in Alaska. They will literally back off on a winter storm the day of the event. The amount of microscale effects and terrain up here in Anchorage make this place extremely challenging to forecast for. On November 17th, NWS was forecasting 4-8 inches of snow for the majority of the Anchorage area and we got 0.