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If that banana high noses in more…it’ll block it from running ots.

No warnings currently in New England, looks like best SW

i am always very envious of your yard and the view. you are a lucky guy!

That was unprecedented. It’s been snowing like crazy (feet) in Utah already and it’s mid October. The seasons already off to a better start. .

No Lamar this week again https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/50197342/ravens-rule-qb-jackson-huntley-start-browns

77 in Emmitsburg MD at 2:15PM then 82 by the time I got to Fort Ritchie followed by 84 right now in Pen Mar. Heat is out west.

That's what I thought until last winter. It rained to 10,000 ft repeatedly in Utah and Colorado. Just absurd how fast the planet is warming. Very scary.

Yeah for sure. Tahoe is rather low at 6,000’ in comparison to what’s possible in the sierra. Mammoth lakes for example is 8,000’ and of course you have peaks over 14,000’. Once you get above 10k it doesn’t really matter how warm the flow is, it’s going to snow. Allot of the Colorado resorts for example go up and over 12,000’. .

Now tagged TOR POSSIBLE for Williamsport area.

Depends how high the snow levels get. If we have subtropical/warm origins events all the time, Lake Tahoe for example might be wet a lot of the time and you have to go to the high slopes to see much.

Already getting gust to 25 or so.at times

12z Euro much closer but still heads ots

Heck yeah!

guess its time for me to renew aguacero for models, lol. but in the meantime, can you drop a hint?

Rather impressive to see the warm sector clear out so much. While surface CAPE is small and likely a narrow profile, there's okay lapse rates and respectable shear, which is probably why the DCAPE is decent. I'd still favor north of Mason-Dixon for any more scattered to widespread severe winds, etc.

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1238 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026 MDZ003-501-502-509-510-VAZ025>031-503-504-507-508-WVZ050>053-055- 501>506-170045- /O.NEW.KLWX.FZ.A.0006.261018T0500Z-261018T1200Z/ Washington-Extreme Western Allegany-Central and Eastern Allegany- Western Garrett-Eastern Garrett-Augusta-Rockingham-Shenandoah- Frederick-Page-Warren-Clarke-Western Highland-Eastern Highland- Northern Virginia Blue Ridge-Central Virginia Blue Ridge- Hampshire-Morgan-Berkeley-Jefferson-Hardy-Western Grant-Eastern Grant-Western Mineral-Eastern Mineral-Western Pendleton-Eastern Pendleton- Including the cities of Ruddle, Landes, Clary, Mill Gap, Chester Gap, Fort Ashby, Harrisonburg, Skyland, Grantsville, Buckton, Ranson, Seymourville, New Creek, Strasburg, Berryville, Sirons Mill, Sugar Grove, Romney, Winchester, Ingham, Kline Gap, Sulphur City, Liberty, Woodstock, Riverton, Bayard, Mountain Lake Park, Frostburg, Ellerslie, Masonville, Rawlings, Welton, Stuarts Draft, Monterey, Three Churches, McDowell, Brake, Keyser, Halfway, Oakland, Brandywine, Hagerstown, Hawkinstown, New Hampden, Spottswood, Moorefield, Headsville, Churchville, Rileyville, Front Royal, Paw Paw, Westernport, La Vale, Reynolds, Purgitsville, Wapocomo, Kitzmiller, Cedarville, Beechwood, Glen Echo, Petersburg, Cumberland, Bean Settlement, Berkeley Spgs, Luray, Albin, Mustoe, Possum Trot, Brady, Christian, Springfield, Shenandoah Junction, Points, Stringtown, Frenchburg, Wilsonia, Martinsburg, Oak Flat, Middleway, McNeill, Waynesboro, Fisher, Antioch, Smith Crossroads, Howellsville, Fairview, Hamburg, Mount Jackson, Piedmont, Cedar Grove, Ridgeville, Hancock, Hightown, Gainesboro, Kimball, Arco, Charles Town, Franklin, Bakerton, Alonzaville, Russelldale, Staunton, Shady Grove, Compton, Linville, Clover Creek, Magnolia, Bloomery, Mount Clifton, Cabins, Bentonville, Montebello, McCoole, and Millville 1238 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026 ...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Sub-freezing temperatures in the upper 20s and low 30s are possible. * WHERE...Portions of north central and western Maryland, central, northwest, and western Virginia, and the eastern panhandle of West Virginia. * WHEN...From late Saturday night through Sunday morning. * IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops, other sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor plumbing. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.

51.8° and it suddenly just fogged up. 1/4SM style.

Severe storm around state college looks healthy

I mentioned this the other day...some people here need to consider moving to the deep south...

Yea, I get it(saying now is peak) Like MRV said, I peaked out today and was like, damn that looks pretty good. The clouds and mist just kind of set the yellows off.

Saw that Iron Maiden announced they are headlining the Boardwalk Rock festival in May....:-)

Cool skies with the lapse rate showers