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Min 52.9° Could get some showers although it’s mostly north of here

Hasn’t been too bad with the lighter bout of rain. But oak dong season is here.

Did you write “I love you “ on the pollen on the furniture to the family?

Looks kind of lousy for Sunday- Monday. Maybe Saturday or Monday can work out.

MRGL up out to the NW of the i95 corridor

One day of showers. Other two ok. Whole thing may shunt south if we luck out .

You might want to throw Saturday in the "doesn't look good" category too. Welcome to the season when we can predict crappy weather a week out......would that we could do so in the cold season--we'd all sleep better.

Looks like we will keep the cooler with rain chances theme going again this year for the extended Memorial Day weekend.

@40/70 Benchmark Gaining more confidence this El Niño breaks the 1982-83 RONI record (+2.5C). Also think the ONI peaks solidly over +3.0C

Looks like CT valley near 90 again today. Will probably be 80ish here. 90-95 tomorrow with some iso storms pike north and farther interior and then 90-92 Wednesday pike south with some storms around. Unfortunately Sunday-Monday on Mem weekend doesn’t look good.

Heat Advisory hoisted for Philly metro - Seems close to the earliest having one for mid-90s in May! Got up to 88 yesterday after a 62 low and it's currently 67 with dp 63. Only have 1.10" of rain for the month so far and shrubs were already wilting yesterday.

59. Window fans worked nicely.

But you aren't presenting all the climate data for the county, instead you are cherrypicking out the information you like and ignoring the rest. For instance, you are ignoring all the information which comes from the inter-comparison between stations. The fact that Phoenixville's daily high temperatures spiked much higher than other local stations in the 1930s and 40s, flags a biasing station change. Critical information if you want to understand our climate history. Same with other information about changes in the station network with time, like the big station moves to cooler locations at Coatesville, Phoenixville and West Chester, between 1946 and 1970. All well documented in this thread. Your simple method distorts the raw data if the station network changes with time. The bigger the change the bigger the distortion.

Was in Waltham and Brookline yesterday......car registered 88 and 99 in the two locations. Meanwhile we hit 71* at the new Pit1 in Mattapoisett. I'll take it.

This would definitely be something... Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

doubt the city will be under 70 for a morning low looks like the so called backdoor front will have zero effect for the city forecast high is 90 for central park on monday..

Definitely still looks to be nothing short of convectively interesting this week. And potentially even next week also. Models still going abnormally steep on ML lapse rates (> 8) over much of the state for at least the early part of this week, with at least some DL shear to work with also. A few large, strong/severe MCSs are bound to happen in the eastern/southern half of state early this week. Aside from svr risk, the flood threat also looks to increase later this week as well with precipitable water values likely going over 2" from S - ETX. Both Euro & GFS even going up to 2.5" at times too. Which is well above normal anywhere in the state in May. Latest Euro run tonight now going over a foot of rain in CTX through early next week! It's been steadily increasing over the past several days with GFS not far behind either. Significant flooding is definitely not out of the question either with storm training another distinct possibility through next week. Especially, a front hanging in the state during this week.

PT time in central NE on Sunday. https://www.facebook.com/share/v/1B8qsia4xS/ https://x.com/wxsarahk/status/2056137683366265143

We are so into the svr wx/warm season, it is easy to overlook winter-type events this time of year! Anyone happen to look at what will happen in the Central Rockies in the next 2 days? Going by the HRRR Kuchera it shows up to 51" in the Wind River Range in WY, 35" in the mountains NW of DEN, and 37" in the Uinta Mountains in UT. The RRFS shows similar totals. Looking at temps fcst for elevations 10,000 ft and above and 700 temps (10s and 20s F) and total QPF, these amounts do not seem unreasonable. Even Denver proper may get 1". Road trip for Scott? LOL! This is the second significant snowstorm this month for the Central Rockies, and while not a drought buster, it certainly will help. And this shows that you can't write off a winter as to snow records in this area until May is done. This is in spite of the record hot wx in March, which I think MSM just thought "that's it for snow - it can't possibly happen any more this season b/c of that record hot wx!" This goes back to what the MSM as to what they consider the snow season w/ an obvious bias to what happens on the East Coast. And in a larger climatic sense, what matters in the end is what happens for the entire season, year, or decades for rain/snow, not short period individual events within these. I realize that the Rockies snowpack this past winter remains record low stats, but for total snowfall and precip, it is, or will be, no longer in record low territory for many locations. This will be ignored by the mainstream. They only care about what happens in the here and now, taking a snapshot of record low snow earlier in Feb, and running w/ that, providing no context, perspective, or follow-up.

And so it begins RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 0834 PM EDT SUN MAY 17 2026 ...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT ATLANTA... A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 90 DEGREES WAS SET AT ATLANTA TODAY. THIS TIES THE OLD RECORD OF 90 DEGREES SET IN 1960.

Still updating and taking suggestions. One page shopping create your own super ensemble https://ginxweather.com/

Lol

On the topic of the NAM going away and all the "consternation," remember what it can do w/ TCs. Look at this from Barry in 2019 (attached). 866 mb? Yeah, right. And you'd get hype-masters out there posting such as if it could happen! Barry ended up a min hurricane, but even that was really pushing it! Saw this... NAM 3km no longer turns off latent heat fluxes when RH approaches 100% at the lowest model level (as of 2017?). Despite the decrease in thermodynamic disequilibrium that happens in near-sfc air mass approaching saturation, hurricane-like conditions coupled with the model sfc parametrizations still force an unrealistic amount of evaporation into the boundary layer (you can guess what that does for TCs in the model . . .) . Capping those fluxes would be an artificial way to stymie extreme TC intensification rates, but it'd keep the model closer to reality. I believe they removed the global capping to improve forecasts of west coast marine fog, they weren't concerned with TC forecasts. So you can't have it all ways when it comes to mesoscale models/CAMs. There are aspects of the RRFS that performs better than previous models, and some that do not. Par for the course these days b/c it is not a linear challenge (more exponential) as you get more resolute and directly simulate atmospheric processes instead emulation/parameterization. And for the two big snowstorms this past winter, RRFS was not out to lunch. It did well and shows some mesoscale features in one of the storms that verified that no other model had. Shouldn't that be enough for ACATT?