All Activity

Do you do this to your frail old parents too?

Next window of interest feb 5-7

I ain’t mad things haven’t trended well. It happens. It will snow when it wants to

06GFS at 96 has the SLP in the GOM side of FL just west of Tampa. .You can see development back into the Carolinas but as it heads ENE is misses the phase. But super close. Then bombs out off ILM from HR 105-111.

I'm not crazy about how far to the south it digs as presently depicted.

Cooked, toast, stick a fork in her - If you are triad or upstate, sc looking for snow....You Can Forget About it! This forum should change to coastal, NVa, SE maintains thread. Upstate and Triad we have the worst snow climo ever and it used to not be like this!

Thanks @Yardstickgozinya !

trending downward

Final total of 22.2 in Snowthuen..

It appears 7.8 will be my low this morning. Actually, a bit warmer than I had expected.

Clearing out here after a few more inches overnight. 22” at the stake

to refresh our memory what are some of his credentials and how did he perform with this past weekends storm ?

At 120 there is incredible agreement with every model other then the 6z old euro about LP placement. Both GFS and the Euro AI and cmc are nearly dead locked in LP placement off the coast.

Roger - my sleet was 2:1

Let's keep it. I'm almost to climo and I've got deep winter for as far as I can see.

We don't.

Unless this thing does a Jan 2000 it’s gonna be hard to get what we were hoping for Just a lot of things hinge on exact location of N stream. When we have to thread needles stats show we hit as well as pitchers do in baseball

You would think this was New England reading some of these more recent posts.

Meanwhile 2 weeks ago some on this board decided to cancel winter. .

I would give it 72 hours at least - like the last storm no one is expectiing a HECS - a 2-4 or 3-6 is more reasonable IMO

euro and eps have been trending east, hopefully that can correct back.

I think we need to get out of this La Niña stuff. We’re either getting storms with too much warm air intrusion from 850 to 700 or fast moving NS systems that aren’t digging early enough (too much ridging out west?). Need a pattern that allows these components to play nicer together. Feels like it usually points back to downstream blocking. The main causes of that would make for an interesting research topic.

It certainly did.