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dusty and brown hope we're all ready to smell wildfire all summer

What month is this future's contract for? March or April?

Table of forecasts for February 2026 FORECASTER _____________ DCA _NYC _BOS __ ORD _ATL _IAH __ DEN _PHX _SEA PositiveEPO Enjoyer ______ +0.9 _+0.5 _+0.3 __+2.4 _+2.0 _+2.9 __+3.0 _+0.5 _+0.8 Scotty Lightning ___________ 0.0 __ 0.0 __ 0.0 ___0.0 __ 0.0 __ 0.0 __+1.0 _ +1.5 _ +0.5 ____ Normal ________________0.0 __ 0.0 __ 0.0 ___0.0 __ 0.0 __ 0.0 __ 0.0 __ 0.0 __ 0.0 BKViking __________________-2.0 _ -2.5 _ -2.5 __ -2.2 _ -1.0 _ +1.0 __ +1.3 _ +1.2 _ +0.8 so_whats_happening ______-2.2 _ -2.3 _ -2.5 __ -1.0 _ -0.4 _ +0.9 __ +2.1 _ +2.4 _ +1.6 hudsonvalley21 ____________-2.6 _ -2.9 _ -2.8 __ -2.7 _ -0.5 _ +0.3 __ +2.6 _ +2.1 _ +2.3 wxallannj __________________-3.0 _ -2.8 _ -2.6 __ -0.5 _ -1.2 _ +0.4 __ +2.0 _ +2.5 _ +1.5 dmillz25 ___________________-3.0 _ -3.0 _ -2.5 __ -1.5 __ 0.0 _ +1.5 __ +3.0 _ +3.5 _ +3.0 ____ Consensus __________ -3.0 _ -3.0 _ -2.8 __ -1.9 _ -1.0 _ +0.7 __ +2.1 _ +2.4 _ +2.0 DonSutherland1 ___________-3.0 _ -3.3 _ -3.3 __ -0.3 _ -1.5 _ +1.8 __ +5.0 _ +3.4 _ +3.6 wxdude64 ________________ -3.4 _ -3.1 _ -2.8 __ -1.9 _ -0.9 _ -0.4 __ +1.7 _ +2.4 _ +2.1 Tom _______________________-4.2 _ -4.5 _ -4.6 __ -2.6 _ -2.8 _ -0.6 __ +3.4 _ +2.8 _ +3.7 RJay _______________________-5.0 _ -5.0 _ -5.0 __ -2.5 _ -2.2 _ +3.0 __ +3.3 _+3.0 _+2.2 Roger Smith _______________-5.5 _ -6.0 _ -6.5 __ -6.5 _ -6.0 _ -5.0 __ +2.0 _ +2.0 _ +2.0 RodneyS __________________-8.5 _ -9.0 _ -8.9 __ -3.7 _ -2.5 _ +0.7 __ +2.9 _ +2.4 _ +1.2 _____________________________________ Persistence (Jan 2026) ___ -4.2 _ -3.3 _ -1.9 __ -3.3 _ +0.4 _ +0.9 __ +2.7 _ +4.3 _ +0.6 ============================== will add color codes later, will have to consider whether or not warmest should be dual-format depending on next month entries. (having a one and done as warmest should be along with warmest regular forecaster for extreme forecast designations but if the new entrant makes more forecasts then they would have exclusive access for designation) (coldest forecasts are mostly among last two entries shown, except for western region where BKV or SL have them) All of our western forecasts are above normal. All but a few eastern and ORD-ATL are below. IAH is more variable. <<< table will be adjusted if further entries are received >>>

36 at home. Streak over, winter over, life over

Yup. Was just going to say that today is the first day in more than a week that I see signs of some melting in Manhattan. But we desperately need a snowpack whitener. Snow banks getting very nasty.

36 here. Currently full nudity...

Up to 23F and it feels like t-shirt weather with no wind and sunshine.

CPK is at 34

31 here.

Kind of funny the Cape is coldest. Some icy water there.

It's breaking for 18 days and Olympic hockey is amazing. I love the NBA so i'll be plenty busy while i watch the snow fall outside.

is that aircraft enhanced snow on the klot returns over the ord approaches?

28 degrees here still.

I was just referring to the ensembles. Actually something like that would eventually flush the puke away as it moves east.

Heatwave in Popetown.

It's really a shame to waste 3 weeks of peak winter climo to drought. By the time the longwave suppression eases we'll be fighting climo norms.

40 degrees outside feeling amazing. Got to only wear my winter coat today without the hat and gloves!

We’re gonna Zzzzz our way to March, folks.

The mid month SSW could def make March interesting. But there’s never any guarantee that happens. It does look like the WPO tries to reload after mid month. The Bering/AK vortex though will be stuck with us at least for a week, and perhaps a bit longer. The NAO will try to offset that some but it is still going to be a much milder pattern than we’ve seen.

I think a pinned photo thread for all seasons would be a great addition. Oftentimes I’m cross posting my pictures between obs threads and the severe weather thread come spring.

UK ensembles increased from 6z a little

Model's trying to end that way though

Normals at NYC on Feb 28 are 45/32. Spring is coming fast.