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Has the Jordan Creek ever come close to flooding route 100 by Hoffman's garage or the KOA turnoff?

Just ignore the dry guidance and go with the 2-9” guidance lol. If CT gets an inch or two that does nada for the drought

Yeah this should knock CT down from D2 to D1. D1 usually corresponds to water pouring out of hillsides here. 6” of water in the basement is D0.

Thanks, I tried that and the power disconnect button too near the unit.

No way! Drought all the time... Lol. There will be folks complaining by Thursday!!!

Cycle the circuit breaker.

At least this should put an end to any drought talks in Connecticut lol

Main take away for me is it seems to be more characteristic of warm ENSO than 2023 was....granted it's probably still underestimating the MC competition, but the point is it's less than 2023, which is what I have been figuring. I don't think this winter will be as warm as 2023 in the east and I feel pretty good about saying that.

Last night, the wealthy folks with houses on New Silver Beach had themselves a fire a fireworks competition. The lingering smoke inversion must’ve lasted 30 minutes. I was telling my wife, between the three families setting them off, they must’ve spent a combine $20,000 on fireworks.

Hopefully everyone is surviving all of that Canadian and fireworks smoke.

What a day

Could go either way. There will be storms... Just not sure the severity. CSU still likes today.

Thankfully I missed the worst of that crap, no FOMO from me. Had some brief gusty winds and .13” thru the tipper. Hopefully your power comes back sooner rather than later.

Looks like our house down there dodged a bullet (this time, at least!) For some reason none of the Cocorahs stations in PF reported today. I usually watch those to keep track, but central Calvert is a data void today. Maybe none of them have power to post- our realtor is in PF and she said she’s been without power since yesterday. The D3 drought over PF probably saved us too, ironically…

Be happy this didn’t happen 3 days earlier!

PECO workers are striking. The criteria uses the heat index and duration of the heat event (and the dews have been horrible the past couple days, although at least not in the 80s yesterday or today like last week).

It is either I issued originally with 70 mph and updated to 60 mph with a SVS and it never got rid of the original language, or I had also clicked the button for "this storm is producing widespread wind damage..." and it triggered that language. Either way, the extremely dangerous situation is more for the observed nature of severe weather. PDSs are used for watches, emergencies are the tornado/severe thunderstorm related warnings.

Yaaaa I’m not liking the look of this. I better go clean out my gutters

https://x.com/hombredeltiempo/status/2073779464975098028?s=20 Also of note, the EURO, once again, shows a strong +IOD this fall

Intense storm yesterday for northern Anne Arundel. Rain total 1.25. Power surged twice and somehow made the air conditioner stop turning on. Great!

I started to say I agree, but I just couldn't get myself to do it. Lol j/k So, the latest Cfs2 for December! Lol

That’s a very honest answer, ha. I feel that. These events are always going to have surprises when convection is involved. My one pause is always the consistent bullseye for days… nothing is ever that consistent this time of year. There’s always the haves and have nots… one town gets 0.92” in three rounds of 0.30” rain. While another town does 3.28” not far away.

That’s an impressive amount of rain in summer especially for a non tropical system

When Ryan speaks....I listen. Uh oh!

July 5 1999: Flooding occurs over the Arrowhead. The largest 24-hour rainfall total is 8.84 inches in central St. Louis County. Note: Here in Two Harbors, flash flooding from 5+" of rain in a few short hrs overnight caused 7th Ave (Hwy 61) thru town to turn into a river as Skunk Creek overflowed it banks right where it crosses next to the railroad bridge. The 400 Blk of 6th Ave was submerged, as the creek passes thru there. Very low area there. Waters overwhelmed the large culvert under 4th St at the 6th Ave/4th St intersection. The school bus garage/old football field area was also overwhelmed with running water across the road. As the creek mouth is at Burlington Bay, the water went over the Burlington Bay Rd , and washed away the entire beach area. I was awakened around 3 am with lots of thunder, and my basement was starting to flood a little. So as I dealing with that. When I looked outside in the predawn light around 5 am, the waters coming down 7th Ave looked like a rapids. Large amounts of gravel/rocks/driftwood were strewn all over the road when the waters subsided. At the Knife River Bridges on the freeway, water was flowing right at the bottom of those, and down on the Scenic Hwy, water was flowing over the bridge there, trapping wood in its rails. Similar event happened again in the summer of 2012. For Sunday, July 5, 2026 1891 - Sixteen horses were killed by hail, and many more have to be put to death due to injuries from a hailstorm at Rapid City, SD. (The Weather Channel) 1900 - A spectacular three day fire began when a bolt of lightning struck a refinery in Bayonne NJ. (David Ludlum) 1916 - A hurricane produced 82 mph winds, an 11.6 foot tide, and a barometric pressure of 28.92 inches at Mobile, AL. (David Ludlum) 1937 - The temperature at Medicine Lake, MT, soared to 117 degrees to establish a state record. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders - 1987) 1937 - Midale and Yellow Grass in Saskatchewan hit 113 degrees to establish an all-time record high for Canada that same day. (The Weather Channel) 1970 - The morning low at Death Valley CA was 103 degrees, and the high that afternoon was 120 degrees. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Severe thunderstorms raked south central Kansas for the second morning in a row. Thunderstorm winds again gusted to 80 mph at Clearwater, and in the Wichita area reached 100 mph. Twenty-five persons were injured at a trailer park at El Dorado Lake. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Afternoon and evening thunderstorms spawned eleven tornadoes in Montana and three in North Dakota. Baseball size hail was reported at Shonkin, MT, and wind gusts to 85 mph were reported south of Fordville, ND. Twenty cities in the north central U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date, including Fargo ND with a reading of 106 degrees. Muskegon, MI, equalled their July record with a high of 95 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Moisture from what once was Tropical Storm Allison triggered thunderstorms over the Middle Atlantic Coast Region, which deluged Wilmington, DE, with a record 6.83 inches of rain in 24 hours, including 6.37 inches in just six hours. Up to ten inches of rain was reported at Claymont, northeast of Wilmington. July 1989 was thus the wettest month in seventy years for Wilmington, with a total of 12.63 inches of rain. Alamosa CO reported an all-time record high of 94 degrees, and Pierre, SD, hit 113 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) Observances: 5 Sun National Bikini Day 5 Sun National Workaholics Day 5 Sun Pet Remembrance Day 5 Sun Mechanical Pencil Day 5 Sun National Apple Turnover Day 5 Sun National Graham Cracker Day 5 Sun National Hawaii Day 5 Sun National Outdoor Lights Day 5 Sun Work Without Your Hands Day