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  2. If I get 1-3", I'll change my screen name to eweather Jr.
  3. Up to 0.47” here, so you’re on target
  4. Climo is still really against us in coastal plain first two weeks of December.
  5. Ambient 2902 is at 0.46" and counting, but it tends to run slightly high.
  6. Good luck to all those north and west. The beat goes on here. Haven’t had a track worthy event in nearly 4 years here
  7. AIFS mean (which obviously has some problems, so take as you will…) for Fri/Sat
  8. Sorry I meant storm vista. The wx bell isn’t that different than the weathermodels. Some differences on the margins but SV was like a Taunton to Carver jackpot, lol
  9. Advisory should be issued every winter event...since it seems 75% or more don't know how to drive in winter precipitation events.
  10. The hope is the weaker PV and -QBO tips us more into -AO territory for late dec through Jan. That’s when we should get our chances.
  11. If this is any sign of how models are going to interpret future winter storms, it's going to be a long winter with much bridge jumping.
  12. Yesterday
  13. Added 2” today. Being my November total to 23.2” A November to remember for sure.
  14. hey guys, hope you had a nice Thanksgiving! Think there’s anything going on with this storm down yonder at MMU? My family and I are awaiting news to see if we can make it town on Tuesday. .
  15. Writings on the wall for this one . I’ve resigned myself to it . I am petrified to open this site tomorrow morning and the first post I’ll see is one from Ray discussing some type of rusty coat hanger after pulling an all nighter
  16. Implicit subsidies are based on imperfect estimates. But they recognize that there are real costs. Those costs are substantial even if they are estimates. One need not agree on the exact figure ($7.1 trillion) to recognize that they are very large. A framework that assumes that such costs don't exist is wholly unrealistic. Also, the IMF's working papers are not scientific in nature. They are estimates for policy makers. Finally, I recognize that there have been subsidies for renewable energy e.g., as one witnessed with the Inflation Reduction Act. An "infant industry" argument can be made. Energy has been a highly subsidized field. One finds a range of tax deductions, credits, and subsidies i.e., a deduction for intangible drilling costs, depletion allowances, accelerated depreciation for oil and gas infrastructure, etc. Unlike some of the renewable technologies, the fossil fuel industry is anything but an infant industry.
  17. I also cannot believe the model differences at less than 48 hours out.
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