All Activity

I’ve been red pilled for years down here in the tropics

The two 2010 snowstorms in late January and early February was the craziest time as every model was Crushing us. Joy after joy after every model run.

Gfs is so bad. Hard to not think it's because of budget cuts. It's gotten alot worse over the last year. I view it as one of the JV models now. Go USA lol.

I’m saying 18z will be happy hour, it’ll look even better than 12z, 00z with the fresh data is where the rug gets yanked though

The winter I discovered this forum! I'll never forget when somebody said "Wam bam thank you NAM!" Didn't know what the heck they were talking about, lol

5.50" depth Slowest meltoff ever

I keep waiting for the GFS rug pull to go towards all other guidance. Any bettors for 18z?

He uses the Mark Model

when i was in my twenties i did a little weed but no im a geek practically

Are you referring to that overnight event that dumped like a foot in primarily the Lititiz/Manheim Township area? That was crazy but I thought it was considered more of an unexplainable random convective event similar to a stray pop-up thunderstorm. I thought they were having trouble determining the reasoning for the event, almost freakish in nature. I didn't think it was associated with a norlun but I could be mistaken. Perhaps we are talking about different events? There used to be a really good LNP article talking about that exact event but I can't find it despite searching their website to the best of my ability. Do you recall the date or even the year of the one you're talking about? I do recall that photo of Horst with his foot of snow haha.

Never forget 3/5/2001-3/7/2001 when we got 24". Some spots in SNH measured 30' while Portland reported 40" on that monster coastal event.

Has there been Any storm that was my storm outside of January 18? No.

It takes time for it to flush out bad initialization data because i believe new runs use its 6hr forecast from the previous run. We had this same thing happen last year or the year before when the gfs was showing a blizzard under 96 hours and every other model was a miss. It’ll make a cave by 18 or 00z. At least it’s entertaining though! This has been the winter of what ifs and close calls. Such a tease.

Awesome. Out with the cold if there won’t be snow.

Temps have been busting low it seems all week.

It's almost impossible to improve upon the 12z GFS solution (until it tucks another 30 miles NW). I fully expect a reduction of some sort from 12z. We should know by hour 30 or so how it will play out though. Quick with pulling the band aid off

Patience. GFS has at least 8 model cycles before game time. There's plenty of time to let it cook and do what it does best (fold to the euro).

Hopefully we torch after that week....it's pretty much over by then anyway

2014 lol. Shit was the best. I knew i was getting my 3-5" cold smoke when the NAM dropped a 40" run over the lowlands. That when getting "Nam'ed" started. It started "happy hour"

17z product here. chance of warning level snow through monday 7am.

18z is gonna be a 50% cave at least. Its already late in the game for it to be doing this.

Sadly I think this is a death march. Just gonna enjoy the porn while I can

NC weenies watching us walk into the same wilderness they did a month ago

have you tried said drugs .

Nah this year will be remembered here as ‘26 Year of the Blue Balls” Too many missed opportunities including two potential blizzards