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Going back exactly 2 years from today since 7/07/24 they are 151- 174. That's a .464 winning % Time to do something different here. It's not working. This team is not good and hasn't been good with this core in 2 years. Pretty much everyone that is considered there core is either underperforming or not available.
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Maybe in your area...very little here
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Seeing lots of calls for house fires in north Raleigh tonight. Hope everyone's ok.
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Hoisting the Sultan Signal: Heavy Rain Event July 5-7
Damage In Tolland replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
Still puking rain in Taunton . 4”+ Kid did it again -
Yup going from drought to flash flooding.
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It’s fun to watch the storms on radar, hard to predict where they’ll end up flowing too. We got 1.2 imby today. When it does rain, it’s more in line of a tropical downpour than an average rain storm. .
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Hoisting the Sultan Signal: Heavy Rain Event July 5-7
kdxken replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
Even that dude who lives under the bridge is getting his share. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
csnavywx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Case in point. We were slightly behind 97/98 with thermocline depression. That year took a break in July before turning the turbojets back on. This one doesn't appear to be taking a breather. -
Hoisting the Sultan Signal: Heavy Rain Event July 5-7
kdxken replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
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Hoisting the Sultan Signal: Heavy Rain Event July 5-7
kdxken replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
Total fail by Stein. Quirking and likable but not sure he's the best meteorologist. Gave up after a quarter inch overnight. Said we might get showers during the day but not nearly enough. Nearly 3 inches later.... -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
csnavywx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Early trade wind pattern in this event certainly looked like 72-73. Then tilted more towards 97-98. It's a souped up version of those older canonical events, imo, if superimposed on a warmer background state. Problem is I think the warm pool is coming even further east than '98 did (that event got to about 150W) and it will drag everything else into resonance with it, so makes a straight shot comparison more muddled. -
Yup same at the house. Had a high of 78 degrees then fell into the low to mid 70s mid to late afternoon. Beautiful weather.
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So much for the drought
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Hoisting the Sultan Signal: Heavy Rain Event July 5-7
WxWatcher007 replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
Cracked at least 2.0” storm total here. -
Hoisting the Sultan Signal: Heavy Rain Event July 5-7
512high replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
63 F/ looks like 1.08" for the final. -
That 1936 heatwave is a remarkable outlier. Will be interesting to see if it can be repeated again in the future, or spoiled by higher dews from modern agriculture.
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High of 82, stayed cloudy most the day so we fell well short of the forecast high.
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Hoisting the Sultan Signal: Heavy Rain Event July 5-7
SouthCoastMA replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
2.02" -
We just can't get the rain down here. Same thing every day. Still a bit of a chance tonight I guess.
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Hoisting the Sultan Signal: Heavy Rain Event July 5-7
Ginx snewx replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
Scooter Brett crushed lol must be winter with all the premature fails posts -
We will be tired of the blizzards.
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Hoisting the Sultan Signal: Heavy Rain Event July 5-7
Baroclinic Zone replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
Yeah, it’s dumping here now. Under some 45-50 dBZ echoes -
Hoisting the Sultan Signal: Heavy Rain Event July 5-7
Baroclinic Zone replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
I have no idea how much here. Cocorahs this AM showed about 0.70” here. -
Nice storm ~7 miles away that refuses to move
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Tomorrow will be somewhat milder with highs in the upper 70s. Thursday will see raadings return to the 80s and the Friday could see highs in the upper 80s. A few of the hot spots could approach or reach 90°. The weekend will turn somewhat cooler with highs mainly in the lower 80s. No excessive heat appears likely through mid-month. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +3.4°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.8°C for the week centered around July 1. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +2.80°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.52°C. The ongoing El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer. The SOI is not available due to data feed issues. This could be an extended issue. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.023 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 61% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal July (1991-2020 normal). July will likely finish with a mean temperature near 78.6° (1.1° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 2.1° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.
