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Agreed, it’s a feast or famine setup

Bottomed out at -12.5⁰, while fake, it was still impressive for around here

Is the RGEM still showing the most snow for the plateau?

models are struggling to resolve these blobs of convection and how/when/where these pieces will come together as a consolidated low. A bit more negative tilt would make a huge difference East of 85 as consolidation would happen earlier. Kinda running out of time for big shifts,but the Euro kinda moved in that direction set the orientation of the trough

This mornings snow depth from CoCoRaHS.

just for shts and giggles. at what time frame did boxing day blizzard start coming back on the models. i remember the storm hit on a sunday as well

Can't stand him. I've met him in person. WEnt to a baseball game with him. Went to breakfast with him. Im sure Randy could write a book on him but leaves the past in the past. Anyway, everyone here at work still thinks we are getting this storm. The facebook hype machine is real. Just talked to my boss "OMG and another storm this weekend!" I just nodded my head. Eh.......

Man, Norfolk area snow lovers living the good life! They got that 12" storm last Feb and about 17" for the winter which blew away central MD's paltry total last year. Now they're looking at another 8-12" storm. Last weekend's storm here with 6.5 snow then some sleet was the most since 2019, but I wish we could get a 8-12 all snow here.

i think next week could get interesting but i won't be posting for two weeks it looks like.

It is frustrating to miss a possible hecs by 150 miles. But life goes on. We will get one.

So much uncertainty still with this system. Here's a chart from NWS regarding snowfall amounts. I highlighted locations with 9 or more inches of spread in their possible outcomes. Crazy!

I wonder if we will get a winter storm warning issued tomorrow.

I hate missing out on storms when we have a cold pattern.

It would help if the 12z stuff today starts making moves west . It doesn’t even have to be that much . 25-50 miles happens quite often . A few minor changes with kicker , confluence and it would change things quite a bit. May not happen and the no snow calls end up correct. Like I mentioned will wait until 12z tomorrow to rule out accumulating snow .

Picked up 2.5" of snow last night. Really wasn't expecting anything. Areas just north probably had more looking at the radar. I guess the large crack in the ice just east of the western basin provided enough moisture.

So I guess were sticking a fork in this weekends snow event?

@nycweathernow on ig

Yup. 79 was not a big deal in my area. I would add March 93 given the severity of that storm. If I am not mistaken 79 was similar to the last storm with 8 to 12 followed by a changeover.

sensible

Hard to go against the Euro. Pretty much putting us in the bullseye of this thing. Frozen ground, arctic high, heavy snow, and windy. Has all the recipes for short term blizzard conditions and whiteout conditions around the mountains this weekend.

Flow is too fast thanks to CC as Tip explained

We’re looking good. Only critique would be that I’d like to see the digging calm down a bit. You want to be just northwest of the ULL, not way northwest.

the ones left hanging on should not be let out...you're stuck with it

Probably not