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  2. Welcome to all the posters that are now joining the weekend storm thread
  3. My skies are clear for sure. It hasn't been warm today at all. When I went running this morning, it was 12 degrees I think...one of the top 5 coldest running mornings(this winter) for me. Yesterday was by far the worst. I made the mistake of running down on the river(you know where it is...NI).
  4. Tomorrow looks like dogshit for anyone east of FIT-DXR line.
  5. Based on precip shields, I think gfs and aigfs are converging closer to each other. Whether it’s correct or not, idk. We’ll get better clues at 00z when new upper air data is ingested.
  6. Look at how low the dew points are too. That has to be good for at least onset sleet until the dewpoint rises above freezing. I don’t know I’m grasping at straws here but seen that happen many times.
  7. Once again = RGEM map doesn't make sense especially with the crazy spread of amounts along the coast and an inch and a half in Warren/ Sussex County NJ
  8. Well, the GFS is much improved for the Upstate and Midlands. Look at S-Central GA.
  9. The current 500 pattern did not get can kicked. It arrived on Jan 12th as we noted for at least a couple of weeks prior that it would. I don't think anyone is on a sugar high...The upcoming weekend event was never real as there was a blatant error on GFS modeling where it connected w/ an eastern Pac storm. However, they still had to send hurricane hunters out to make sure. But folks are allowed to get excited. We only live once. And can-kicking is just part of it in the Upper South.
  10. AiGfs looks juicy. I think it's mostly snow away from the beach?
  11. RGEM is better with temp but still above freezing so you'd need heavier rates during the day to overcome that
  12. NE TN and SWVA might just get a couple of hours of radiational cooling this PM.
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