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Currently 0 at my house. Sussex shows -6 right now

Hugging the GEFS...

23 at my house at 4360. 9 at 2400 in the Cane River Valley just below me. Can anyone confirm if the recon data is being ingested into the models yet? Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro using Tapatalk

Between you, me, and @wncsnow. I just don’t know how we can get or feel any lower.

We haven't had a storm like this in a decade. And people are flipping out about some taint on top of over a foot of snow? Which is then followed by sub freezing temps for 2 weeks. I honestly don't get it. The synoptic setup alone has me weenieing out man. We are going to get absolutely mauled during the daylight hours on Sunday While watching the NFL Championship games. Absolute perfection for me.

Good morning weenies! Well that was some fun reading from the overnight crew. Eventually, I just had to hit the arrow button and skip several pages to land back in the world of sanity. Anyway, today is definitely an important one. The “windshield wiper effect” is real. Happens in all the big storms. That said, I’ll just watch the Weather Channel all day, tv sound off, but Iron Maiden or Judas Priest turned to 11!! It’s already working. Check this out!!

I'm going to see if I can find it on satellite.

So 6z Euro has more QPF, better snow maps and is a touch colder and reading through here you would think it got....worse?

I think they're just saying the recent northern trend may be one, or maybe not. The northern stream vort that's causing all this heartache is strung out north or the arctic circle now.

No more north trend or that warm nose will creep and cause mixing Sunday afternoon..

But it looks like 6Z euro op trended ever so slightly colder at the 850 level, basically noise.

12z

Huge run on the 06z EPS mean as well.

Getting his mojo back after Jan 18-19. He was put through the wringer the last 4 years.

St. Mary's county would have 8-10" snow followed by well over an inch of freezing rain. That would be real bad

0z Ukie ensembles looked great.

I don’t think the Euro changed much at all at 6z. Maybe the NW shift is over. That’s the first run without a NW shift in over 24 hours

Dipped down to 8 right before sunrise.

NWS calling the Euro run a mirage? .

not just hits but southern solution hits more prevalent than northern. We'll be fine. All of us. Fine.

This week is an incredible test of these various model suites and AI

Thanks was just going to post this.

I agree. We are all forgetting Euro doesn’t handle CAD well at range. That being said, we’re walking the line between ZR and IP now for most. Up until yesterday it was between SN and IP

That primary holding on in Ontario on the EC AIFS is looking MJO 7 and can definitely get a lot warmer from there if legit. Pretty crazy…

Only goes out to 66hrs