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  2. my weather opinions are never worth very much tbh....but i think we are done. it's getting warmer, it's been dry, and i just emptied my gas tanks for the snow blowers into the cars....that said i was around for april 82...ran into a former colleague who was my kids principal and my homeroom teacher in high school...she said well you probably weren't born yet in april 82... i was 19....i've seen a few april snows, one in the 70s when i was a kid and a couple in the 2000s, , but they were wet snow events; 82 was a true cold weather blizzard of a foot or more. i see you're in perth amboy; i was a regular of the sea pigeon and the late captain marty haines, who was a friend; we lost him in 2022, he was still running boats for ny water taxi....died on the boat. there was a burial at sea of his ashes with all the local ny harbor ferries saluting him.
  3. Yup same here. Be back Saturday the 21st. Might miss Friday the 20th, but after that looks good.
  4. Thank you for sharing this. I hope you are feeling better. I know that I can harp on certain things incessantly. It's something that I'm aware of and even at my age continue to try and improve on. For years, I've posted about how I actually like it when we get storms that change over to sleet. For me, while I love the thrill of a 2' blizzard, I'd actually prefer a long-lasting winter landscape. To get that, we need something to preserve the pack. And that something is sleet. While I was in Florida reading @Mount Joy Snowman posts during the late January storm about how hard it was sleeting, I was actually giddy. I KNEW when I got home there would be a nice, solid snowpack awaiting me AND I knew it wasn't going anywhere for some time. The past 3 weeks have been Exhibit A of what I've talked about forever. Give me a lot of sleet after a "lot" of snow and we'll reap it for a good long time. Edit: March 1993, I had continuous snow cover for over a week in mid-March. 4" of sleet in the middle of the storm did the trick.
  5. those arborvitae live a long time and ours were planted in the 50s before any deer were around.
  6. wow you shoukd write a book - so to keep this about the possible interesting weather events the rest of the month what is your opinion ?
  7. The Euro OP showing a similar shift is intriguing, as well as other guidance shifting towards it. If we can slowly tick that southern vort more progressive and that northern stream a tad slower/sharper from here until game time, we'll have a snowstorm on our hands. Still not buying it yet, but the 12z EPS is way north as well
  8. but who was better...sammy or david lee?
  9. yes, my late sister was a resident at the developmental center in hunterdon; which was considered state of the art when it opened in 1968....we used to see deer out there when i was a kid; around 1996 i started seeing them in rahway near the river; now i have them eating off my lawn; i saw a bunch on a guy's front lawn yesterday near metropark; they are all over menlo and woodbridge malls, and staten island; they swim across the arthur kill. but we also have foxes and coyotes now; the coyotes are not true coyotes; they are a mix of wolf, coyote and dog....this is what the dna tells us; the loss of wolves meant females took up with male coyotes out of need. and how dogs got in the mix well, you can imagine.....the cartoonist Larson had many comics with wolves and dogs....also to be found in the area parks are bald eagles, and i was startled by one at menlo a few years back, and the red tail and cooper hawks feed off the pigeons and rats there...
  10. Down to 14 on average between 16 and 12. Hopefully adding some more.
  11. Plenty of cold enough air up north and every one of the previous storms drags some more down here - would be funny if this month ends up like last waiting till the last week to deliver.....
  12. Yep just saw that. Been some hints around that timeframe. Just something to watch. Sometimes right after warm ups this time of year, all it takes is a southern stream energy meeting with some cold enough air.
  13. The "Its Not Coming" Thread is still open - reply in there-lol
  14. My fav band . EVH was such a beast.
  15. It should get active with gradient like pattern setting up. CPC 6-10/8-14 day agrees. How much and what (rain/snow/mix) is the question
  16. Not really it just can't figure out how much phasing happens. Other models did slowly trend towards it too
  17. I’m not sold on Ai solution. Something like the Euro OP makes more sense to me. Still, weird to see changes this much at 72 hours, goes to show you how fragile this phase is
  18. This morning's rocket launch:
  19. Time to reopen the thread. Not sure what was the point in closing it.
  20. Great signals for last half of February on guidance across the board including ensembles and AI This winter has a sneaky epic vibe I'll be out of town with the kids for school vacation week next week... perfect timing not to miss the potential ahead
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