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You're totally correct. I ran my mouth and cursed the lowlands. This winter will be a parade of storms that crush north of 70 while I get a wintery mix and 33 lol.

Looks like elevated convection at best. Yup. We at least need the rain. Would be surprised if we actually get into the mid 90s like previously forecast.

downhill decline has been rapid this year, the portions of my lawn that aren't reached by the irrigation system have stopped growing completely

That hasn't been in the cards for a few days. Where have you been?

I blame you... you were all gung ho when you were getting storms and the north was missing out. Believe me though... I rather have snow than rain.

Latest drought monitor update has severe drought for I-95 and SE. Would be really nice if this Mon possible rain event happens. And this strong/super Nino needs to produce with the storms over the next 6-8 months.

There is a pocket of steeper mid-level lapse rates in NY advecting northeast. This may weaken but something to watch to lead to some instability enhancement for eastern NY into VT/NH

This likely will reduce/preclude any significant threat later except for areas that see more sun and do not get stabilized early.

Wow! I haven't seen any weather since sleetfest. It sounds fun out there. Just super exciting drought here. I'm waiting in anticipation for the dark red on the drought map to move north a little bit. It's as fun as sitting in traffic on the beltway on a Saturday. I can't wait until the first LES chase this fall.

Nothing severe here with that line, but some booming thunder with lightning and pouring rain. Winds gusting to 30.

Clears enough to see the anvils to the north.

Yeah last 15 years of convective ennui has made me numb. That said, rt 2 north has a decent chance late day.

Had to snap back other way

Will take a long time to catch up to normal - lawns look like they do in March ............

Any chance we get any clearing down here before the afternoon is done?

Definitely a flip towards a longer term drier pattern

Surprised myself. We will see if it holds together. At least shear is higher

Bust. Morning showers then clearing

I saw the cloudy sky and looked at radar -- congrats northern MD! Maybe I'll luck into a t-storm later today. I'm hoping next Monday turns into a real soaker.

Quite the storm down in Louisiana.

Those on the Gulf coast should keep an open mind this winter, some dude in Pensacola measured a foot of snow outside of his office 17 months ago.

This drought really came out of nowhere... The preceding 12 months to Sept 2024 was about 12" above normal with 60" of precip.

Nothing close-minded about my sentiment. I'll peer out the window every now and again if it happens to look ominous, but that is about the extent of my commitment.

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 814 AM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Northwestern Shenandoah County in northwestern Virginia... Western Frederick County in northwestern Virginia... East central Mineral County in eastern West Virginia... Central Hardy County in eastern West Virginia... Hampshire County in eastern West Virginia... * Until 900 AM EDT. * At 813 AM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from near Romney to 12 miles north of Moorefield to near Petersburg, moving east at 60 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Romney, Wardensville, Springfield, Capon Bridge, Green Spring, Bean Settlement, Yellow Spring, Shanks, High View, Bloomery, Perry, Points, Lost City, Lost River, Delray, Cross Junction, Baker, Kirby, Gore, and Wapocomo.

anecdote warning: I recorded the June 1, 2011 tornado that crossed through Springfield from my office window, so I encourage you to keep an open mind