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take the Honda from 10 to one. I’m hoping the over under is 4 inches.

Today definitely ended up more south. Mesos ftl.

RGEM looks good for 4-8” for many

A run of the mill 18z NAM 50 mile shift northwest in 6 hours

WWA for York and Lancaster counties early Sunday am for another 1-3”. They’re the jackpot winners this weekend. No accumulation and 0% snow chance for Harrisburg.

its Springfield it will be done in 3 days if at all

Getting close to go time but what a crazy ride this week has been in modeling! And we still have enough uncertainty to worry about when and whether.

Most of the guidance had my area getting dryslotted, while areas just to my west would get 3-5”. But today was a nice surprise, got a dusting that melted, then it’s been snowing again all afternoon. Currently 2” on the dot and everything is covered. 33F

0.0 it rained

Not sure why this site cut my post off,but towards the end of the month seemingly we should see a +PNA like the GEFS shows

Great job on the roads... lol

2.0 inches. I’ll take what I can get. Still waiting and hoping for a big dog this winter.

Below normal through mid February, at least. Will there be mildish days here and there? Sure, but it doesn't look like torch time any time soon.

I believe we will go WAY over that for this season. WX/PT

Made those driveway piles as high as I could. Think I burned 1500 cals today shoveling for 2 hours this heavy wet snow

You can actually see whats going on into East Asia,you have some troughing going through Mongolia and ridging into Eastern China into Japan,yes into NA we rely on the NAO,but this still should be a -PNA as we get into next weekend,then a couple days later a Upper Level Ridge starts to build into Mongolia,this should/possibly build a +PNA

I'm not quite feeling this one for more than 1-2" now. Temps are ick. interior SE mass should do ok.

Even making buffalo look tame Insane event

Yeah final of 2.5” here

BOX stole my forecast

Reviving my Dust Bowl musing from a couple weeks ago. Looking to see if there are any parallels in patterns between winter 33-34 and this winter. In Denver, Dec 33 was #1 warmest and this year #2, Jan 34 was #2 warmest (and the beginning of Denver's warmest year on record) and this year so far is #1. I kind of hope not, because 1934 was the kind of year you read about in history books, and not in a good way... I'm sure sea surface temperatures were not a thing yet in the 1930s, nor was PNA etc. but I wonder about other things they did measure. EDIT: Holy crap, I found something. (This is why atmospheric science is SO important...) La Nina from 90+ years ago. https://www.nasa.gov/news-release/nasa-top-story-source-of-1930s-dust-bowl-drought-in-tropical-waters-nasa-finds-march-18-2004/#:~:text=Scientists used SST data acquired,storms blew across the U.S.

3-3.5 here. Pretty much just snizzle right now. Temp still 32F. Christmas card picture outside. Looking forward to more tomorrow night. It should hold for a while with the coming cold intrusions.

Looks like a pretty good chance of rain or white rain tomorrow. Best guess 0 to 1" of snow.

Kinda like where I stand in Frederick for some frozen tomorrow, though looks like lightweight stuff. Hoping we can tap into a legitimate snowstorm soon.