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2025-2026 ENSO
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
January on the Euro seasonal looks like -EPO/-AO -
Yeah, that PDO is bad as of now. Last year at this juncture it was low but not this low and it managed to rise rapidly in November. That helped irt last Winter without a doubt.
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Shwrs/stms moving in slowly this morning. Aug has been dry here so far, so hope to see precip today. Yesterday was a steamer with temps around 90 with mid 70 dews.
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Another chilly start of the day across much of the area with temperatures well down into the 50's. The chilliest station I could find was the Warwick DEOS station at 52.1 degrees. Through the first week of August we are running almost 7 degrees below normal temperatures for the month. We should slowly start to turn this temperature deficit around during the next week. We start a solid warming trend on Sunday with temperatures finally getting back to above normal levels. By mid-week some of the lower elevation spots may reach the 90's with increasing humidity to add to the discomfort. The week looks dry with maybe our first shot of rain arriving by later Thursday.
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Ya that run was .. i think somewhere on the east coast gets hit the next couple of weeks.. i hope its us
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2025 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to Hurricane Agnes's topic in Philadelphia Region
Another chilly start of the day across much of the area with temperatures well down into the 50's. The chilliest station I could find was the Warwick DEOS station at 52.1 degrees. Through the first week of August we are running almost 7 degrees below normal temperatures for the month. We should slowly start to turn this temperature deficit around during the next week. We start a solid warming trend on Sunday with temperatures finally getting back to above normal levels. By mid-week some of the lower elevation spots may reach the 90's with increasing humidity to add to the discomfort. The week looks dry with maybe our first shot of rain arriving by later Thursday. -
Given the likely higher than average (though still extremely unlikely) chance of a tropical impact this season, recent interesting model runs, and the tropical clutter in the August disco, I figure it’s time to bring back the tropics megathread!
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Serious post for a change. As we head into a heat wave. This is an impressive start for August even on the coast like Bos but inland as well IJD.
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Just off the top of my head, it seems that the W areas have seen stronger spikes in temps earlier in the season than over your way in recent years. Just the way the pattern ball bounces.
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Mid to long range discussion- 2025
WinstonSalemArlington replied to wncsnow's topic in Southeastern States
BAM Weather -
It has to be fall. The Honey Crisp apples have been available for a week. The crop is early this year.
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Hype day 3 no smoke COC
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I feel like it will be warmer tonight? Maybe similar to last night. There were 40s here in ern areas last night.
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Might be some 40s tonight in CT
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On that note, we make it through the weekend without a drop of rain recorded at PIT, it will be the first time in the entire threaded record that there hasn’t been at least a trace of rain for the first 10 days of August.
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Currently 72. Have been noticing the tree line behind my house is thinning out. Lot of leaves starting to fall out here also. All those gains we got back in May have been zeroed out.
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Good to read from ya, bro! I will be bookmarking that station, thanks! Hope all is well.
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Chicago does average more 90F+ days than Detroit (avg 17 to 13). But the last several years have been huge differences. The last 3 years, ORD has had 67 days of 90F+ while DTW only 26! Here are the last 20 years. YR - DTW – ORD 2025- 10 – 23 2024- 14 – 23 2023- 2 – 21 2022- 15 – 16 2021- 13 – 22 2020- 17 – 31 2019- 10 – 14 2018- 26 – 26 2017- 7 – 16 2016- 23 – 16 2015- 10 – 10 2014- 4 – 3 2013- 7 – 13 2012- 30 – 46 2011- 23 – 22 2010- 17 – 21 2009- 4 – 4 2008- 7 – 6 2007- 14 – 19 2006- 11 – 15
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Meanwhile Columbia, South Carolina has been below 80 since August 1st... Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk
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Central PA Summer 2025
Mount Joy Snowman replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Should be clearing out momentarily, visible satellite shows it scouring out quickly. All clear over here with baby blue skies. Low of 57. Boat day! - Today
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2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
It will be interesting to see how strong the SE ridge is when we manage to get a robust -AO/NAO/EPO/WPO, +PNA combo. My guess is there won't be one. -
it's a reference to summer weather conditions that are characterized by warm (not hot) temps and low to moderate humidity (dew points less than 60)