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Glorious morning.

Low of 51

This summer continued the theme of warm to record warm conditions during the 2020s with strong -EPO +PNA patterns. Very warm summers in the Northeast used to be more -PNA +EPO. This is also the strongest Southeast Ridge with this pattern. Warmer Northeast summer composite prior to 2015-2016 Super El Nino

I posted a few weeks ago when this cold snap started showing up on the ensembles that I believe late summer/early fall cold snaps are indicative of a better chance of colder winters. I think I said it wasn't a guarantee, but that colder winters often feature them. Time will obviously tell what happens, but it's at least a reason to remain optimistic at this point if you prefer cold/snowy. September's updated monthly forecasts "should" start to hone in one way or the other.

August 15 - September 15…. Best month of the year?

Chilly low of 45.9. Beautiful sunrise.

We should finish with a slightly cooler August against the warmest 1991-2020 climate normals. But since we have been warming so fast, it would just be average for recent 30 year climate eras. Anytime we get a cooler month in recent years, we eventually see a warm departure of a greater magnitude than the cooler month was. This was the case with the spring warmth after the slightly cooler winter. Also last fall with some cooler conditions early on before we experienced record warmth by October and early November.

Yep it was in my western sky. It was definitely bright for a split second.

Numerous papers on this new summer warming pattern of cooler in the middle and record warmth in the East and West.

I’m driving to work with the windows down. It feels great.

[As of 5:50 AM 8/26] Mt. Mitchell, NC (6,684') is currently 42°F with a Wind Chill value of 36°F.Reminder: It's still August

Followup: The Euro (0Z) has this again as a weak low just off Africa. It then eventually comes across to just N of the Leewards as a H moving NW though those details aren’t important so far out on an operational. The EPS (0Z) again has a few TC members from this and they all are headed for a safe recurve from the US. The Icon (6Z) has this again at 120 just off Africa. The GFS (6Z) again doesn’t have this develop. Edit: Unlike the 12Z, the 0Z UKMET doesn’t have this as a TC. The 0Z CMC still has this as a weak low.

55 when I left the house, may go a tick lower yet.

Agreed. Most of our summer rains occurred on 7/19 and 8/1. Too much too fast.

Dew point 50 ! Exceptional

55/52

What a beautiful morning out! Temp is down to 49 degrees this morning! Going to be a wonderful day on tap!

It's not. Ridge rebuilds as tropics get active again

Brisk this morning, currently 52

This is the strongest -PMM we have seen in some time. This is only going to enhance La Niña development. The new run on the normally severely warm biased BOM model has begun a cave to a La Niña now

It’s freaking great.

48 this morning. Who ordered this cold? It's only August for Gods sake.

Overnight runs are bone dry for the next 2 weeks. What a strange year precip-wise. Dryish through mid-late April, then wet to very wet through July, and potentially <1” (or even less in spots) from August 1 through mid September.

summer is effectively over the odds of any long stretch of either hot or very warm humid weather 3 days or more is gone..

I remember that one all too well. I was helping Debbie a neighbor on Aug 23 2011. At first i thought it was a concrete truck rumbling by but then I realized we were getting an EARTHQUAKE! Everyone ran out of their houses. I also remember Aug 23 real good because 7 years later it was the very day I left Dale City for good. I can't believe I have been down here in HOT Texas for 7 years already!