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Droughty

I'll most likely be below freezing when I let the dogo out around 6am. That will be 4th time in October. I know, valley fake cold.

(facepalm) You have got to be kidding me. You left out the context qualifier: "If the whole world was experiencing what Delos is experiencing" which was specifically done as an absurdity said to point out the absurdity of YOUR claims. Look - just nevermind. You obviously just can't follow discussions and logic. So - just nevermind.

Hit a fooking deer tonight…or more like the deer ran into my car No serious damage but my car requires some body work. Wonder if it’s worth reporting to my insurance.

I don’t post in here (I’m really just discovering this awesome thread!) but yeah, the Great Blizzard of 2013 earns its name. 1888, 1978, (October) 2011, and 2013 stand alone in meteorological exceptionalism and societal impact in CT.

Beautiful Fall day today.

Dominating performance tonight by the Caps

Not looking for anything in particular. I was trying to find it in the NOW data for a friend but didn’t see the station.

63 today, 43 now

What a incredibly beautiful day here. Low of 43, high of 67. Dew points dropped to the low 40's most of the day. We need more days like this.

FWIW this is exactly what I was talking about in my last post. People need to stop reading into what happened at exactly their house (mesoscale randomness) and assume it means anything in the big picture. That level of precision is noise and does not mean a pattern was good or bad.

I am enjoying these temps. My new grass is beautiful! Yeah I had to water it heavily until it germinated. Now it’s easily 2”-3” tall. I’m touching up a few areas that need to be seeded some more but with the temps next week after the rain, the fescue will thrive as it already has.

Long range models continue to show a -AO to start November

Don the problem is your reliance or let's call it your faith (which is not science) that "IF what is modeled, proves accurate ...but conversely and it is certainly possible IF what is modeled proves inaccurate (which is of course not beyond the realm of possibility) the consequences you fear of what from today's vantage point in your world view seems foreseen and avoidable - in fact never ever comes to pass...would obviously mean there were in fact no consequences that we needed to avoid in the first place. Do you see why you are being called out by myself and others for your so called "thesis of doom" post?

Widen that growing season

February 8-9, 2013 was a very big snowstorm, especially in parts of CT. From Fairfield:

not "day of" but 11/2 day cold Stein

You have a bad habit of applying your own back yard experience to everyone else. 2012-2013 was a fantastic season throughout SNE, with the largest blizzard since 1978.

Look forward to 50s and 60s in late December

It was like 20 miles wide haha. Snow storms always have winners and losers. Sometimes you guys get a nice coastal where i get shafted. Storm tracks always determine the localized winners and losers here. But, that was one of the best snow surprises of my life.

The top of the rock pile was a little whitened when we went by this afternoon.

A backdoor cold front cleared out the atmospheric for the best radiational cooling.

I'm not sure exactly how you would do it, but I know I'd like to see more winter outlooks or past winter discussion focusing on snowfall potential rather than what fell at specific points when possible. Maybe another way to look at it would be to say is this objectively a snow producing pattern even if it didn't occur at Central Park (or wherever). If we could remove luck (mesoscale patterns) from more of our analysis I imagine it would be more constructive to discussion of the patterns at hand. I think some of what @donsutherland1 has been showing is kind of a step in that direction. You could in theory score a pattern based on its historical correlation to snowy patterns to say how good a winter should have been regardless of what actually happened at some point. Just a thought.

I bet this is a combination of the Hunga Tonga water vapor injection coupled with international shipping cleaning up aerosol pollution accelerating/demasking the general warming trend of the 2020s. Did we really need to clean up shipping? For gods sake this couldn't come at a worse time.

Nice 10 year period from 2008-9 to 2018-9 averaging close to 40 inches.