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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Eskimo Joe replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Winter Weather Advisory for Lancaster & Lebanon counties extended to 6 pm this evening. Radar implies another coating to one inch of snow. -
An inch plus here.
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That is a nice plume of moisture to our south over the eastern Carolina's. This storm could have been a real contender if there was some phasing involved and the low was closer in and tracked to near or just inside of the benchmark. As it is all that deep moisture is going to slide out to our south east. Just saying what could have been.
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First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
dendrite replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
That’s why I like them more for the extended and mid range. Granted that was an AI ens to begin with, but even with the “op” AI I’m still hesitant to use use them close in except for trends. Yeah, the coarseness tightens up as we get closer, but it hasn’t been to regular op gradients. But it’s a new tool and we’re all figuring out how to use it. -
Just what Upstate SC needs after Helene.
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Hvward started following Mid-Long Range Discussion 2026
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50 inches of snow and 50 days of snow cover. That's my A criteria for a Winter here.
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Lesson learned: don't REMOTELY trust the GFS. Nam and mesos lead the way in the idea of this starting as rain over here. I have my doubts we even switch over. Hope I'm proved wrong, and hopefully onto tracking the biggies next week. Sent from my Pixel 9 Pro XL using Tapatalk
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Storm potential January 17th-18th
weathermedic replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
Some flakes mixing in with the light rain now here in southern Brooklyn -
Mid-Long Range Discussion 2026
WinstonSalemArlington replied to BooneWX's topic in Southeastern States
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Storm potential January 17th-18th
Winterweatherlover replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
Yea it depends on the rates, the correct thing is generally if it's 32 or warmer with light precip you won't get good accumulation in the five boroughs (especially the more densely populated parts). Heavy snow will stick anywhere except maybe midtown. -
Storm potential January 17th-18th
sussexcountyobs replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
I just checked NWS forecast for Central Park. 1-3" this afternoon. 1-3" this evening. So. Total forecast is 2-6". If the Park gets only 2", that was an accurate forecast. -
1.8 new inches as of 1:00. Light snow continues. 0.4 inches in the last three hours. Snow rates have been light enough that it's now accumulating about as quickly as it compresses. No complaints though 6.6 inches so far this weekend, 25.2 for the season, 35th day of snow cover. Not much to complain about, I'll take this over one 25 inch storm that melts in a week like 2016 in city and coastal plain.
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Big flakes falling fast in Winston-Salem
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What’s wild is all 3 major globals pretty much agree
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spectacular drizzle in charlotte
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2025-2026 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
CheoahBald1 replied to Buckethead's topic in Southeastern States
UKMet has it also . -
Storm potential January 17th-18th
IrishRob17 replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
Same here, been snowing since before dawn. It’s accumulating where I shovel but on the snow board, and yard, the snow just keeps getting denser. This is going to be a solid snowpack once the deep feeeze gets here. -
Agree. I sent way too much time model watching and hugging the model that showed snow. I need a break, but wait did you see GfS and CMC at 12z. lol
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" Heh, sorry boss, I took the wife to Key West for the long weekend. See ya Tuesday"
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Rise of the Machines: January 18-19 Winter Storm Obs Thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
32.2...no new snow yet -
Storm potential January 17th-18th
BxEngine replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
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Jan 17-18 Sunday Funday Storm
SEwakenosnowforu replied to NorthHillsWx's topic in Southeastern States
Temp dropped to 41 now. 3 degrees in one hour. -
Honestly, the cold following that type of event on the 12z Euro would be rough, rough.
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Another Coating of Snow Saturday - "It's all we Got"
40/70 Benchmark replied to Sey-Mour Snow's topic in New England
Near Haverhill and Salem, NH lines....northeast Methuen -
Storm potential January 17th-18th
gravitylover replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
Slowed down but never stopped and keeps accumulating. Plow just went by so I'm gonna go push the mush out of the way.
