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  2. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  3. WxUSAF
    One is atmospheric angular momentum and someone posted that recently in the ENSO thread I think. It was very high for this time of year, which suggest the Nino is already well coupled.
  4. vortex95
    And it shows solid destabilization despite lots of clouds. You can do a lot more for CAPE by adding to the dew point than temp per deg. GFS has DCA 69 dew point at 15z up to 74 by 00z. Also it backs the sfc winds to SSE. This is w/ WNW winds at 500 so that's over 90 deg veering sfc-500. That should mean robust supercells. Speed shear is common here but good directional shear is not so this may be a best tor risk of the year so far Sunday.
  5. Eskimo Joe
    Not sure if this is better off in the ENSO threat or here, but what are the telltale signs that an El Nino or La Nina are coupling with the atmosphere?
  6. Eskimo Joe
    The Canadian tries to paint a 2" - 3.5" stripe of rainfall right along Mason-Dixon tomorrow afternoon. South of I-70 is less than an inch.
  7. BrianW
    Man.. going to be a ton of dirty hippys in the Pioneer Valley this week with river levels low. Haha. My hippy aunt in Ashfield said the same thing about river levels.
  8. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  9. smokeybandit
    Western Parker and Aurora getting the heavy rains today.
  10. Eskimo Joe
    That's a recipe for someone to get soaked.
  11. powderfreak
    First day that felt a bit more like fall. 67F off a high of 70F… Partly sunny, dews 48-52F.
  12. vortex95
    1030pm last night. Dang! Ton of CGs as well.
  13. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  14. jaxjagman
    NFL Sunday ticket is strange on YOUTUBE.I got my daughter to sign up so i can watch Jacksonville because shes a student.It dont ask you nothing but your age,so i got it half price..lol.
  15. dailylurker
    Thanks for all the bad news lol. I appreciate everyone here. Snow camp is open to visitors. The positive note is I'm on top of the Tug. I'll have elevation on my side.
  16. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  17. batmanbrad
    As of this morning's output, they seem to be holding onto the 5-10% TOR for our area tomorrow...
  18. stormy
    Historically, be patient until September/October.
  19. vortex95
    18z RRFS is the same. Both models show more than one wave of storms after the AM convection. I like the significant sfc dew point advection tomorrow aftn over the region
  20. Today
  21. nvck
    gonna head up there soon bc i've got nothing better to do, but concern atm is that the best LL shear is displaced north of the best thermos
  22. SEwakenosnowforu
    Everything just evaporates when it gets past greensboro. Uggg
  23. Eskimo Joe
    18z HRRR lights up NOVA with 3" - 5" of rain tomorrow
  24. frontranger8
    Looks like the answer is yes. Another big storm about to hit your area.
  25. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  26. MANDA
    And totally expected. Plume after plume of dust, a lot of subsidence and shear to knock back even the most robust looking wave that rolls of Africa. Caribbean looks to be shut down for at least the next 2-3 weeks and likely longer. Hard to imagine any meaningful ACE getting racked up in that area. Anything of note I think will have to come out of the SW Atlantic or maybe the Gulf. CSU ACE of 50 is starting to look generous. Even with peak Climo coming into view if we don't see some relaxation in the hostile atmospheric conditions I would not expect much. We'll see what things look like as we move into September but August looks to remain very quiet.
  27. NorthHillsWx
    Total whiff by models, but testament to just how hostile the basin is with El Niño roaring
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