All Activity

The models yesterday didn't really have this thin layer of moisture at 850.

yeah, their automated forecasts are becoming less reliable....Even my 12 year old mentioned, wasn't it supposed to be sunny today?

Been a common occurrence this year. Mostly sunny forecast ends up mostly cloudy.

Dont leave us gay dudes out my man! Jokes aside....theres no question that big snowstorms occur when its bitterly cold. And those are the best imo. I love the cold powder. But honestly, a traditional up and down roller coaster La Nina pattern can often produce some of the best snowstorms here. Weve had nonstop deep winter here since late November- bitter cold and constant snowcover. But no big storms. Today snowmelt is underway . With the pattern changing and deep winter taking a break, I wonder if we have a lot more fun/frustration ahead in Jan-Mar? Wouldnt surprise me if this 3 week stretch was the most sustained pattern we get all winter. La Ninas often carry the chance for multiple big snowstorms, arctic blasts, and torches. Buckle up.

My most eventful weather was a 7.5" snowfall in February.

One of these things is not like the other:

2025 has to have been the most uneventful year for weather locally in my lifetime

Ok yeah. When you burn a month in La Niña early on, usually a bad thing. There were places close to the coast in E MA that got skunked in Nov ‘71 but still recovered. Obviously rare though…Feb ‘72 was a huge month despite La Niña. Usually February is the weakest La Niña month.

Think he is station at YYT St. John’s. Rodney Barney from the ol ne.weather days is in YQX Gander. They’ve already gotten a boatload of snow so far. They in the crosshairs…for now.

congrats powderfreak

Gusty shower line to close out 2025? Friday AM?

The Allegheny Front does weird things.

I am talking about the seasonal total after the seasonal tally at the end of December is in single digits.

How has the long range euro AI been performing? I know it's long range but one can dream.

Today will be near to slightly above normal with highs in the middle 40's. We warm a bit more tomorrow into the upper 40's and then the low 50's by Friday. Rain arrives by Thursday night and would expect to see some areas of fog as the snow melt ramps up tomorrow night. We could see 3/4 to an inch of rain. We then turn colder again for the weekend and into the start of Christmas week.

Today will be near to slightly above normal with highs in the middle 40's. We warm a bit more tomorrow into the upper 40's and then the low 50's by Friday. Rain arrives by Thursday night and would expect to see some areas of fog as the snow melt ramps up tomorrow night. We could see 3/4 to an inch of rain. We then turn colder again for the weekend and into the start of Christmas week.

I have a feeling that Webb is going to ride the torch wave until the very end.

what is it if you remove the 17 -19th and calculate from the 20th to the 31st ?

Take away...when you buy a snowblower, it doesn't snow and when you get rid of it, it does.

If we can get that trough to back up west a lil

‘71-72? November ‘71 was good but Dec ‘71 was kind of a dud for snow.

I like that pre Christmas window more than trying to thread the needle on Christmas. I’m not as confident in that signal. I mean in all seriousness, last year we had epic patterns showing up and that was awful. We’ve had bad patterns be awful. We’ve had middling patterns be awful. It’s a rough decade. Yes, there have been great storms, but on balance nothing has worked with the PAC being uncooperative. I lean more toward you here. I don’t think it’s permanent, but perhaps one of these longer range oscillations that are really a blip on the global time scale but suck for us. 100% We have to be at climo by Dec 31.

Yeah that’s a split flow, we’ll see if it has legs as we get closer. .

Hmm yeah there are similarities. Euro AI has that giant tropospheric PV in Canada provide just enough confluence without squashing it. GFS squashes it. High latitudes on euro AI otherwise look like trash at that time frame lol. Definitely a unicorn setup but not much else happening…

BIG changes underway. That snow and ice doesn't stand a chance.