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That's awesome. As soon as you're leaving his home and making a left on to Tall Oak Dr, I'm right in front of you up there on the hill with the two small pickup trucks in the driveway.

Probably doesn't mean alot here on east side of the state, but for western folks. 0z hrrr coming in further south in Arkansas with the winter weather.

If you're lucky enough to get under a band of 2 to 3 inches an hour or a couple of hours it piles up quickly.

OH BOY. .

Bro. When we get to the point where the banter thread is much more manageable than the main thread somebody needs to do something.

Get y’all’s storm plans in place triangle folks

I feel like I do every time I try to read that damn number over PWM.

Don't worry nacho. I haven't had alcohol in 40+ years, so I'd be on your side. lol

Your not wrong to bring it up. Its been showing on some models, even that sref run shows at least a lower ratio area.

I would love to see some wind with this. I'm on top of Town Hill one town over in New Hartford and the wind routinely rocks here. We just have not had an event with significant fluff and wind in the 7 years we have been here.

All the way on the right is @nw baltimore wxin the middle is @nj2vaand on the left is @NorthArlington101.

HRRR....

I think it trends better. This air mass is way different from what we normally deal with. There is a shit ton of cold coming. And I think a lot of us will get blitzed.

1/2” qpf with those temps and with what I’m sure will be meatballs flowing down from the gods should help to stack up quick before any changeover. RGEM and GFS minimum were bringing it in hot and heavy.

I nailed this +TNH, but kicking myself for not pegging the KU window in latter January as opposed to the slight chance in early December. Early March one I am fine with, but Jan 2022 was one of my primary analogs....I also wanted to use Feb 2015 bc it was THE BEST QBO/solar match and this La Niña has a warm subsurface, but I left it out because it was warm ENSO. Nice call, Steve....doesn't matter how well I do, something could alway be better. I'm done refraining from including opposite ENSO state if they are strong in other areas, assuming a modest ENSO event.

Wow… NWS is bullish on the ice. Not good

And a couple hugs…

Thank you for sharing your memories. May your father RIP. I miss my father, too. He passed away almost 12 years ago.

2016 was 10 years ago, not 5. Although, it does feel like it just happened.

This system isn't moisture starved by any means.

They have never wavered. .

Good to see the pro mets stick to climo norms with their prelim forecasts. I still think we see at least a foot out here. Unless a weeks worth of guidance was completely false. But with modern models I highly doubt that.

Do not take anything I say on here seriously FYI. Hopefully your week gets better with a record breaking snow storm.

I can give you a few candidates I'd lay money on.

Wasn’t much of that left either .