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Check out the HRDPS. Looks like a Derecho lol.
- 769 replies
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- severe
- thunderstorms
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(and 2 more)
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Congrats Champ
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That one we had last year was awesome and timed well with the solar eclipse lol Just like the one we had in 2011 that happened just before Irene.
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looks like it was more of a Suffolk County thing although the Rockaways being out of power means it was bad here too, I just don't remember it. What I do remember is that big November tornado outbreak we had a few years ago-- 8 tornadoes on Long Island including one in my town, my power went out for 4 hours and I was freezing lol
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I enjoyed the 4.8 we had here a year ago, it was fun.
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unfortunately this shift to cold crappy rainy May weather was rather unexpected. Drier springs were MUCH better. The only other time I remember getting a May like this was 1992 and that was when Pinatubo was influencing the climate.
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
Typhoon Tip replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
I know what climate variations over geological time is. What were/are you referring to when you use the word "denialism" - what does that mean in the context? hint hint, I already know what your tact was. This cannot be pointed out any clearer: you are completely off based and just ... wrong, period. The entire ambit of climate research has not only distinguished the difference between natural vs (natural + human influence) in climate change, they have used physical chemistry data to prove it. Let me let you in on a secret that only the enlightened people are aware of ... we don't get to question data that is objectively real. - something that is quite irritatingly obvious at this point, what you are clearly doing is trying to create uncertainty in data measuring practices, that ISN'T THERE. Your are wasting your time. And you are wasting the bandwidth of these threads with this DENIALISM stategy. -
Zero chance of a 7 quake around here
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Not saying we won't see HHH weather at all.. to me that's atleast upper 80s with dews in the 70s.. some were saying it could be an all timer the other day and I'm just not seeing that.
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i hope it's a foreshock for a 7
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The problem next week though is a cutoff just to our south. That will force the heat more over the top. Maybe it's 85-90 up in Quebec, but more modified here. We just don't have a good trough out west that can rip a heat plume heat for the good stuff.
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Speaking solar cycles...The study of solar output is a great example of another discipline of science that performs corrections/adjustments for biases and errors in the instrumentation to create a more accurate picture of what is actually happening. Dr. Kopp's webpage is a good starting point for the science of solar output in general, but more pertinent to the discussion at hand you can see how the bias corrections/adjustments work to homogenize the observations of the different solar observatories and that without these corrections/adjustments scientists would grossly misinterpret how the Sun behaves.
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Central PA Spring 2025
Itstrainingtime replied to canderson's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Neither Elliott or CTP agrees with you: Sunday Partly Sunny Cool <10% 68 4 Sunday Mostly sunny, with a high near 68. I just looked at the GFS, CMC, ICON, EURO and NAVGEM and not a single one of them shows rain on Sunday. They could all be wrong, however. -
It stretched well beyond west Babylon. Surprised you do not recall this event After dealing with the a day of stifling heat and humidity, severe thunderstorms plagued most of New York City and neighboring counties in New Jersey in the evening, but it appears Long Island may have gotten the worst of the storms. PSEG Long Island says lightning brought down trees and wires, causing outages mostly in the Towns of Islip and Babylon in Suffolk County. As of 8:30 a.m., the company restored more than 67,000 customers impacted by the storm last night, howeber, PSEG Long Island is reporting that more than 24,000 of its approximately 1.1 million customers across Long Island and the Rockaways are still without service.
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Mid to long range discussion- 2025
WinstonSalemArlington replied to wncsnow's topic in Southeastern States
Keep it mild in early June -
1.5C over 120 years for the Earth is a shit ton, but that doesn't mean you wake up to a tropical climate one morning.
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Yes, and im fine with it. Getting through May with no heatwaves is always a bonus, makes the uncomfortable season shorter.
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Nobody is challenging Milankovitch or solar behavior that causes cyclic oscillations in Earth's climate. In fact, it is scientists who have assessed and corrected biases, errors, or mistakes in the pioneering works of early scientists that we figured out that Earth's orbit and solar output wasn't actually static.
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You said this, "but no HHH on the visible horizon. " Having a powerful -PNA with a modest -EPO instructing a non-linear tendency for a major trough over the west, while the over arcing AO/NAO mass fields are evolving toward zip blocking, is not consistent with that. It's all good though ... I realize that folks "might" not be necessarily referring to these deeper analytic methods/points when arriving to their conclusions. LOL But I'm not sure what "consistently in the next 2-3 weeks" means ?
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Same in Northampton right now except there’s also mist in the air.
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The cloud cover this may has been ridiculous. Looks like it's finally gonna man up temp wise.
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unfortunately are becoming more common and were not like this before the 90s they are a plague on the weather here. 1.5C isn't that much
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Cut off lows and east winds don't just magically disappear because the Earth is 1.5C warmer than the pre industrial average.