All Activity

80.5 in Muttontown & 80.2 in Syosset today.

The Uk agrees with the Euro. The cutoff low brings all the rain to WNC and tries to funnel in those system(s) of the SE coast but they get too close and a weird fujiwara effect happens. Going to be some wild weather maps next week.

Much of the region saw the mercury rise into the 80s today. The warmth will be trimmed in coming days. A weak cool front will trigger some scattered showers overnight. Afterward, the front will stall near the region tomorrow. Several waves of low pressure will move along the front bringing showers and rain Thursday from Saturday. A general 0.50"-1.50" rainfall is likely during this period. Some locations cuold see higher amounts in excess of 2.00". Above normal temperatures will continue through at least the coming weekend. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was 0.0°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.4°C for the week centered around September 17. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.03°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.38°C. La Niña conditions will likely develop during mid- or late-autumn. The SOI was +2.50 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.151 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 66% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal September (1991-2020 normal). September will likely finish with a mean temperature near 69.6° (0.4° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 1.6° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.

85 with a dewpoint of 64 here right now. Feels like late August rather than late September.

Up to 0.59” on the day. It’s been a minute since we’ve had wet rainy day vibes.

Heavy shower for 5 minutes....

these 2 posts are like 3 hours apart. you are a confusing man.

Hoodies remain in hibernation and shorts stay in regular rotation.

Incoming

Return of the stink bugs, day 1. These warm, humid late September days bring them out every time. Also coincides with the harvesting of the feed corn in the surrounding farm fields. They feed and breed in Summer months, so never see them.

Rainstorm is over. .08" That brings me to .28" for September after .35" in August. I wonder if I got 1" on Thursday, if that would even get any flow going in the streams?

Storms starting to fire up .

It looks like this week's drought monitor might look a little different across Michigan. Not enough to erase long term deficits but everything is now very green around here.

79 the high here today

Anything to make the weather more exciting. I can’t endure another year of zilch to be excited about. Let it ‘cane

zero cold intrusions on anything for the next two weeks

we watch!

81/68. Summer says I’m not completely dead yet

Would make sense there would be a weakness to 94ls east with 93L being so close. Think we would be having a different conversation with no 93 L in the picture

Please please happen. Please

The Den

Interesting runs coming up

some of those members also would get rid of our hurricane drought

what is interesting theres members that come back west like the op

I'll be pretty suprised if we don't see at least one round of significant blocking.