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  2. does anyone know what all the climate sites got and where i can find them before the CLI comes out this afternoon
  3. Love him or hate him, DT has a very good point here. This is a very interesting read with facts to back it up. This may be the reason why we are seeing so many completely different solutions and flip flopping run to run with multiple models. We have many weather balloon sites permanently down right now in important areas of North America due to budget cuts. It definitely makes sense:
  4. I've seen little snow devils but nothing like those pics. The only dust devil I've seen came in the hot summer of 1966, where I was cooking burgers and dogs in the lodge at Curtiss-Wright's employee lake resort in NNJ. On a hot but dry and near-calm August, the small (<20 ac) lake was suddenly full of whitecaps from a north wind gusting probably to 40 down the long axis of the lake. The spinner formed at the south end of the lodge, moved against the wind behind the building, then headed across the water. On the way it tossed the cushion from a 6-foot lounge chair about 50 feet up into an oak while flipping the wooden chair end-over-end to the water's edge, also flipping the 14-foot rescue boat. It picked up the thigh-high base of an outdoor ash tray and carried it round and round across the lake and 30-40 feet off the water before hitting the woods and dissipating. sudden wind lasted less than 15 minutes
  5. You sound like the person that measures in central park...why even bother
  6. 33" season total, above my yearly average by 3-4", nice. Lets get some more!
  7. This one is going to require fairly perfect timing of the western ridge building. Pretty much any delay in that or any unforseen disturbance at this time flattening that ridge will kill this. I think it'll be Thursday before we know much
  8. imagine walking outside with a ruler to measure two inches of snow
  9. Amazing, there appears to be a very narrow (5 mile wide) snow hole from New Brunswick NJ up to Northvale NJ.
  10. I don't mind it. The enthusiasm and the good natured way he takes the criticism is better than a lot of us. One quibble, and happy to be corrected by anyone on this: It's "Wintry" not "Wintery" right? Always bugs me when I see it written the latter way.
  11. Still looks like the ICON is started by hand even today.
  12. Maybe for you. Gfs, Nam had me getting 3”+ a day out and euro still showed a little snow inside 48
  13. thats why ensembles are important at this range
  14. Ryan Maue @RyanMaue · 47m I think we are on Nor'easter watch for next Sun/Mon There's a consistent signal across European and American models for a major storm system developing off Mid-Atlantic and moving toward New England. Too soon for snow impacts but plenty of time to iterate, watch trends, etc.
  15. 48 currently feels like 58. Rare to get this warmth with full sun this time of year. Drinking it up. Got a nice walk in this morning before work.
  16. EPS for each threat… Wednesday Friday night Sunday night/Monday
  17. 12z GFS is basically January 2022 re-incarnated.
  18. Will likely be at Baldy this coming weekend and then will be at Palisades 2/27-3/2!
  19. Now you know it's going to snow. It's always when you don't want it to snow that it actually snows here. Thank you for your help.
  20. Tahoe area is amazing. Only been out there once but Heavenly is amazing. We had 2 to 3 feet on the first day of our ski trip and 5 days later serious spring skiing with temps in mid 40s after starting trip with highs at about 10 in the town and below zero at 10k
  21. One of those times I'd rather not see snow this weekend. Oldest is performing in the Maryland All State Chorus on Sunday.
  22. Had about .6" of snow. Just enough to scrape the driveway which took a minute. Went to go the gym and it was all gone by 12.
  23. We had consensus last Wed for last night’s storm. Just a few straggler models trying to reel us back in
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