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I know there is more than just the mjo, but if it really progresses, then we should be in better shape moving forward. I don't like the kicking can scenario too much lol

Happy Birthday Sauss!

It hit 52 here. Nice to have some warmer weather.

I'd give you guys 3-4 minor events if I could have the big dog. lol Keep the moisture feed going with the cold (enough) air close by and we will at least be at the right ballpark. Just need a ticket to get in.

Gotta' look for hope somewhere and the Gem did look best among the 12z bunch that ran through 2 weeks+. So what the heck.

It topped out at 40.1 today. Snow cover still intact but did take a hit. From the forecast I'd give it until Saturday and I'll probably have to call the latest streak over.

You know we are grasping for straws when we the are looking at the CMC Ensembles

74.1, this is ridiculous

Hit 62.4 at 3:24 this afternoon after the clouds moved off. Back down to 57 now.

Mostly in the last 7 days of the run. Best day is MLK day. Members are largely feast/famine

Should have done a road trip to Juneau….

I haven't gone into details on how and when it falls, but suffice to say the Geps has the best snowfall for the 12z run. I put the link to Pivotal if you want to delve into it further. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=cmceens&p=sn10_acc-mean-imp&rh=2026010712&fh=6&r=us_ma&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1

Been socked in here since late morning. I want more sun!

Juneau is stealing your snow https://archive.ph/Ajhsr

January was a nice reminder we still can get sustained winter conditions around here but overall boring weather year IMO. As other have said late summer was a nice treat. Not quite 2014 level but close. The last 90+ degree day at CHO this year was Aug 17!

topped out at 47 here-alot of it melted today still about 60% coverage-probably down to parking lot piles by Friday

Pretty good look pattern coming up. I think some in the forum score...even if just a light event. I mean there are kind of two camps: a big dog or just bunches of small, northern events.

It's too bright out there. Bring back the clouds!

I legit am kicking around trying to find my way to the Sierra Nevadas (sooner than later) for an atmospheric river event. Vegas flights are cheap, but the drive....Reno is the best, but the connectors can be a problem.

Good to have you back in here, man!!! Hopefully you are feeling better. It looks like we are gonna be needing u very soon w/ the pattern shaping up. The real story right now(in addition to the Jan 11-21 window), is the sharp cooking across ensembles d10+. It wasn't there this morning. But -10 to-15 departures at this range is interesting. I gotta think some type of blocking is showing up...maybe a slower moving retrograding high, less prominent SER, OR as I suspect, the air mass in central Canada is gonna be legit and run the show.

Credit card. Hard to believe any adult person not having an ice scraper in New England though

Hey Don - you might find this interesting ... https://phys.org/news/2026-01-north-pacific-winter-storm-tracks.html ...statements in there that speak pretty specifically relating to the increasing temperature tendencies/'why' amid the Southwestern regions of the conus.

Happy birthday Jon!

https://phys.org/news/2026-01-north-pacific-winter-storm-tracks.html "The findings add to a series of Chemke's previous studies pointing to a troubling pattern: Earth's storm tracks are changing rapidly, and climate models don't always account for that." No shit ... i missed my calling.

Happy Birthday @sauss06