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In general looks like a wagons north for showers this week. The area that needs it most looks to be bullseye

super typhoon Ragasa is rated at 140 kt (Category 5) by JTWC and near the Philippines/Taiwan

Got down to 38.5° here. Forgot to close the bathroom window, so it was a little chilly when I woke up this morning. Lol

I don’t think we are going to see a big October burst in Atlantic tropical activity. This is how many months in a row now that people have been saying a big burst is coming? The finish line just keeps getting moved further and further forward in time. Now it’s October. This is becoming The Boy Who Cried Wolf. Eventually you have to acquiescence and admit defeat

People talking about end of growing season, while I just picked up last round of reseed and fertilizer.

Nothing compared to tornadoes of yore like Wallingford in 1878. The tornado started at 6:15 p.m. local time[1] as a waterspout over Community Lake, just west of town. It then moved through the center of town along Christian Street, damaging almost every structure as it went. The tornado tore houses from their foundations, throwing some more than 600 feet (180 meters). A receipt from the town was later found 65 miles (105 km) east in Peacedale, Rhode Island.[4] Large trees were uprooted and snapped, and those that were still standing were stripped of small limbs and leaves. The Catholic Church was blown to bits, and heavy tombstones in the nearby cemetery were tossed around. The brand-new brick high school building was almost completely destroyed.[6] The tornado's path through town was only two miles long, but the damage path was up to 600 feet (180 meters) wide.[7]

This picture doesn't do it justice how dark this cloud really was. moisture laden storm cloud as i visited family.

Stupid rain. I knew it was going to happen someday.

What do you and others think about the Nov 1950-March 1951 weak La Ninaish ENSO before warming up late as an analogue for 2025-6? A well-known met. got on that train yesterday due to an anticipated active late tropical season having the potential to be similar to Oct of 1950 based on precip anomaly progs by the longer term Euro. This met. talked about the severe effects on the NE US caused by the 11/25/1950 superstorm.

Similar temperatures to yesterday across the area with temperatures warming by Tuesday to well into the 70's to near 80 degrees. We then turn cooler for the rest of the week. The good news is our chances of rain are starting to increase by late Tuesday, and showers will be in the forecast for most of the rest of the week. Most models paint between 0.50" to 1.25" across the area. Let's hope this comes to pass.

Similar temperatures to yesterday across the area with temperatures warming by Tuesday to well into the 70's to near 80 degrees. We then turn cooler for the rest of the week. The good news is our chances of rain are starting to increase by late Tuesday, and showers will be in the forecast for most of the rest of the week. Most models paint between 0.50" to 1.25" across the area. Let's hope this comes to pass.

The heat in the West and Southwest are aided by ongoing aridification linked in recent research to the changes in the North Pacific. Summer: Annual:

We’ve known for years you are one of the longest growing seasons in New England. Just amazing how hard it is to drop there.

31.3 this morning in the lowlands just south of Lake Sunapee.

8' x8' photo of a tree on a house in Hamden in 89- now theres some damage https://www.auctionninja.com/smiths-online-estate-sales/product/mounted-photograph-1989-tornado-damage-hamden-ct-4098151.html

Delighted that my tomatoes and peppers shall continue for another couple of weeks. Very late ripening this year, but the sweetness of the tomatoes in unparalled for me, and there are dozens left that are close to ripe. Lotsa gazpacho in the freezer.

The recent summer pattern across the U.S. is a reversal of the Dust Bowl. The record heat has been located in the West and East with cooler and wetter in the middle. This is the opposite of the Dust Bowl with record heat and drought focused in the middle. https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/36/20/JCLI-D-22-0716.1.xml Abstract A cooling trend in summer (May–August) daytime temperatures since the mid-twentieth century over the central United States contrasts with strong warming of the western and eastern United States. Prior studies based on data through 1999 suggested that this so-called warming hole arose mainly from internal climate variability and thus would likely disappear. Yet it has prevailed for two more decades, despite accelerating global warming, compelling reexamination of causes that in addition to natural variability could include anthropogenic aerosol–induced cooling, hydrologic cycle intensification by greenhouse gas increases, and land use change impacts. Here we present evidence for the critical importance of hydrologic cycle change resulting from ocean–atmosphere drivers. Observational analysis reveals that the warming hole’s persistence is consistent with unusually high summertime rainfall over the region during the first decades of the twenty-first century. Comparative analysis of large ensembles from four different climate models demonstrates that rainfall trends since the mid-twentieth century as large as observed can arise (although with low probability) via internal atmospheric variability alone, which induce warming-hole-like patterns over the central United States. In addition, atmosphere-only model experiments reveal that observed sea surface temperature changes since the mid-twentieth century have also favored central U.S cool/wet conditions during the early twenty-first century. We argue that this latter effect is symptomatic of external radiative forcing influences, which, via constraints on ocean warming patterns, have likewise contributed to persistence of the U.S. warming hole in roughly equal proportion to contributions by internal variability. These results have important ramifications for attribution of extreme events and predicting risks of record-breaking heat waves in the region.

we only dropped to 34. growing season lives on DAVID LUDLUM WEATHER MUSEUM CONTENTS BEING AUCTIONED TODAY. https://www.auctionninja.com/smiths-online-estate-sales/sales/details/the-roger-brickner-estate-haverhill-corners-nh-on-site-pick-up-only-116.html Did you ever want a painting depicting Don Kent and the 78 Blizzard or some books of weather reports from 1862? Here is your shot a few of the items https://www.auctionninja.com/smiths-online-estate-sales/product/historical-weather-maps-meteorology-4098167.html https://www.auctionninja.com/smiths-online-estate-sales/product/large-o-c-don-kent-tv-weatherman-ne-blizzard-of-1978-4097766.html https://www.auctionninja.com/smiths-online-estate-sales/product/large-mark-carroll-oil-on-canvas-ne-hurricane-4097763.html Some cool stuff but unfortunately I can't make the pickup hours.

Some 6z EPS members starting to develop something now

Mins. Growing season is pretty much over north of Winni.

The 0.74" that fell from those rounds of thunderstorms yesterday evening until about midnight sets a new rainfall record for date, breaking 2015's 0.40 inches. Surprised how low that number is considering we are in prime tropics season, must have been swings and misses here. Anyway, starting day off in the fog and 57.4/56.8. That also took care of worrying about 'dry September's', lol.

Played golf for the second time in my life the other day down in PA. Butter valley golf course. Was with old college friends. Actually did ok. May get a set of used clubs soon.

50.2 here.. aahhhhh. Totally fake airmass

Even upper 30s on the Cape. Looks like a touch of frost by KTAN.

Well that’s it for awhile. Will be 80+ in many areas Tuesday.