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  2. True! It's still "civilized" at that time of year if you're warmer than normal! I still remember Dec. 2015, we had like a +9 departure for the month, ridiculous warmth (though it didn't feel overly uncomfortable at that time of year)...and I was thinking thank God we didn't get a +9 in July!!!
  3. March 15 to April 15 is like literally the only time of the year where I enjoy AN temps lol
  4. Well, I can do without 80s in March (though won't be the least bit surprised if we hit that at some point then)! We go well above 80 (or 90!) plenty of times each year already! But I'm with you, would be nice to score at least one really good warning-level event this season. Personally, I'd also like to see a modest March snow as well. And I'd like to see February into the first part of March remain generally BN. Agree as well! I know several in here are bummed that we got a ton of sleet from our one major event (rather than all snow) and feel it's all been a waste somehow. But I've liked the amazingly consistent cold and snow cover that literally has not diminished in 2 full weeks now due to that cold (and the layer of solid ice on top). I can literally walk on top of the ice layer and it's as if I'm walking on regular pavement (though more slippery, of course!), without sinking into it. It's actually rather easy to walk on.
  5. Notice how the shades get lighter as you go closer to northeast coast. Not even sure it will be AN there. Under 50% probability. My guess is it will technically come in AN but not by much. Bush league torch.
  6. enjoy Lava Lake, i know that thing has burned you countless times over but not this season
  7. Embracing winter with a nice woods & water walk, snow shoeing on and around the lake.
  8. I've listened to those and not posted but I guess TSSN, Winter_warlock, Stormtracker just can't help themselves but continue to knock someone down once they get a model to show snow. I like snow, but as time goes by it will not be so easy at least Delaware.
  9. i wonder which halftime show you're going to watch?
  10. Don't listen to them. When people say that the cold will never end, you know the opposite is going to happen, and cold pattern is nearing this end. Look at what happened when people on AccuWeather, in early March 2015, were saying that April and May 2015 will be colder. April ended up above average, and May was at or near record warmth. Expect March to finish with above average temperatures, and April to be a Top 10 warmest month. The only way for the cold pattern to continue is if the sun is replaced with a smaller star. (Not going to happen.)
  11. I've been a weather observer for 30 years. I live in an area that would be considered quite cold and snowy to the average American. The fact that the 3 climatologically coldest weeks of the year this year were the 3rd coldest on record IS impressive. The AWSSI winter severity index has this winter as "extreme". It doesn't change the warmth in other places which is oh so predictably constantly being brought up, it doesn't change cc, but I dont understand why weather forums suddenly become climate change lessons during times of regional cold. Why every arctic blast has to be scrutinized for its longevity or regional coverage. The hey day of weather forums as weather forums is LONG gone.
  12. Yes, you would also be leader with a max of 18, if 3 is confirmed as low (the contest runs through tomorrow so it would need to remain above 3 F tonight). A max of 16 or lower would give RJay the title, dmillz25 would win for a max of 19, and Sacrus for a max of 20. Snowfall only needed to separate RJay and you, as well as myself. There again RJay would have to avoid 0.6" to 1.4" snow through Tuesday by contest rules. A snowfall of 0.8" would leave order of entry as the tie-breaker, and RJay can only beat me on order of entry. We should have a preliminary max for NYC and a confirmed min by about 5 p.m., will be back then, but the preliminary max would need to hold up until midnight.
  13. Thanks. I knew January 77 had to be on the list. Late 70’s into early 80’s had some solid cold. Hard to believe it took from 82 until now to add to the list.
  14. The new run gives our region at least a low moderate chance of a WSW event. Got a chance!
  15. Not saying this will happen but it's worth talking about. Partly because it seems like this winter except for the weekend snow here last weekend, a lot of the possibilities have worked out. And they've all been frozen
  16. I have October and November as NN, December and January BN. September is the most recent month AN.
  17. It’s the theme of the winter…she wants to freeze/be cold. Sometimes that’s how it goes.
  18. 12z AIFS Enzemble Members show some big hits for us
  19. Here are the 16-day stretches with mean temperatures below 20° beginning with Winter 1975-76. I haven't added 2025-26, because the value isn't final, but it will come in between 19.7° and 19.9°.
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