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What is crazy is that the Euro Weeklies had this timeframe as a bullseye before they infamously had an infinite loop of feedback over the Southwest...and pumped crazy temps into the East. Now, we are tracking a potentially light winter wx event for northern areas of the forum. I wouldn't be surprised for glaze to show up further south.

I recall one when I was high school and another in college . Both dropped like 5-6” in a very narrow zone over the central portion of CT . But west of about HFD the stars were out

After today’s runs, The clouds tonight through the full moon maybe the most interesting weather down here this winter.

MRX noted in their disco that soundings indicate all snow in NE TN but light. Again, time of day is important. If this comes in at night, could be frozen for many areas.

This one seems legit

Looks like a little lee side slp???

It would not at all surprise me to see this trend SE or NW. LOL. The cold could push more than expected...we have seen that trend on a lot of models at 18z. OTH, we have all seen systems jog northwest at the last minute. I need to look at the 500 vort map. The RAP is a good model. To some extent, we see that same setup on other models...just not as juicy. Plenty to track beyond this event as well. In the valleys, we are trying to get a head start on climatology.

I’m afraid we can’t win fellas! One of these days it’s coming to our doorstep and we will will rejoice.

Graf is warmer on recent runs. Essentially all rain south of Wilkes, Yadkin counties in the west. Triad dangerously close unless you’re a border county.

I can attest to how sharp the line is from 1"+ to .2. I got about .2 and 1 mile west actually needed to be plowed.

Really was an s tier example of mood dust kind of day

18z Euro wasn’t ideal although qpf w such small amounts is basically noise

Invt fraud 5 but when its not.

@The 4 SeasonsNo part of Tolland had 1.3” a dusting to 1/4”. I also don’t believe that Vernon total . Doesn’t matter really but just letting you know .

The northern part of the Pioneer Valley maybe did a little bit better than that. Lots of 5”-6.5” reports around Greenfield and Montague.

My point is we have the cold, and the chances look to be there…that’s about all we can ask for, especially early on in December. Just a little patience, climo is now quickly becoming more favorable for us as we move through the next couple weeks.

Looks like all snow 40 north… mixing around winston gsbo .

You mean that patience thing. Yeah, that's wearing on me. Just happy the liquor stores entrances are well salted at all times... 31F

Had some spits of drizzle with the passage of the cool front here. Temp made it up above freezing for a bit at 33.

Alleghany County and Surry are going to be the big winners. Good for Alleghany too - they’re on the very far east end of the escarpment and don’t benefit very much from northwest flow, despite having the elevation for it.

3rd time its snowed 2 inches or less in the last week. We the kings of the snow just enough to f up the roads.

@BornAgain13keep these bad boys coming!

I got a nice push this afternoon. Probably 5" by the time it's done.

I might go. I just don't wanna have PTSD flashbacks of 2014 with @weatherwiz and I almost dying because I got drunk off 1 beer