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January 23rd to the 26th, 2026 winter storm thread.

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I think suppression is least likely. CMC showed how just a little more amped storm will slam those mids over top and there is more mix. It's like roles reversed when back in the day the euro would hold things back and GFS went ham. Now the gfs is laggy with pieces. Topsy turvy world. But there is a storm. Next 5 days will be hell as everyone loses their shit run to run when jack zones shift. I'll just aim for 4" and be happy with whatever.

Ok, I'm sold. Heading to Kalshi now to place some bets

Wow!!! And how did they do again with this past storm over the weekend? I feel like they did fairly well. No. Of course, I'm not saying that all three of these are I come to fruition, but I think the chances are pretty high. That one out of the three will come through

The regular EC is still running but below is the EC AI -

Hoth on the Empire Strikes Back.

Ha, we can make ends meet without it. All joking aside, fairly normal progression as the jet lowers in latitude this time of year. We get in the sweet spot like Nov/Dec and then again March/April. Jan and Feb should be south of this latitude.

euro says powerball better have a generator

Tick tick tick on the OP Euro.

Great trends on the Euro. Baja low trended west. Cold HP trended stronger.

woah! .

12z Euro, south of the PA turnpike gets 6". Cold powder. 8" south of Mason-Dixon.

Kuchera is wild… thru 162 dc 15”+

Monster Run on the Euro especially central NC and north... 18"+

We have been focusing on the 24th-26th storm, but are there 2 more storms after that? I know there was something at the end of the week into Feb. 1st, and it must be good based on the Ukie Feb 2nd totals. No work will get done this week.

I forgot how insane 2019 was around here. Daytime readings double-digits <0 Plus 20mph winds https://www.timeanddate.com/weather/usa/chicago/historic?month=1&year=2019

Agree. I'm probably in the minority, but I never mind a long lead winter thread. Sure, most of them would need a clean up on aisle 7 (sorry mods).......... but when the forum finally achieves something memorable or even historic, it would be nice to have a longer lead thread to revisit.

Looks like snow starts late Saturday night ~11p/12a Sunday. Kuchera is like 16” in DC lol.

Thank you to all who were with us along the way. See yall at 18z

Agreed

you should ask for a refund from the zero you pay for it

That's what gives me a bit more confidence. These large sprawling long duration events are generally more accurately modelled than the thread the needle faster moving ones. As of now, it's just nice to have something to track.