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  2. When? Tomorrow night? The CAA kinda lags during the day.
  3. I believe it. In some places, open areas aren't part of the background landscape.
  4. Why don't you spend the winter up there, ot at least a couple weeks.
  5. Just saw that already 1.25” here and squall line isnt here yet
  6. Radar estimate of about 2.75" in Greenwhich CT
  7. Besides the “blob” situation, a pronounced -PMM has developed as well
  8. You can add in that Toronto had 12" of snow in this same storm, it largest October fall on record by a wide margin. Second largest was 5" on October 22, 1969.
  9. had a six pointer eating my bushes a few mornings ago
  10. Clip from my game camera today. I'm thinking the rut may have started.
  11. The storm is on track to deliver an expected total 1"-3" rainfall across the region into early tomorrow. A number of locations have seen peak rainfall rates in excess of 1" per hour including: JFK Airport: 1.07" LaGuardia Airport: 1.04" White Plains: 1.18" The system will be followed by a continuation of cool weather. Highs will reach the middle 50s in much of the region tomorrow through Sunday. Lows will mainly be in the lower and middle 40s in New York City and 30s outside the City. In the long-range, the guidance suggests that an AO+/NAO+ regime could develop the first week in November. As has often happened with the loss of strong blocking, a milder regime could develop late in the first week of November or shortly afterward. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.3°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.6°C for the week centered around October 22. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.07°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.48°C. La Niña conditions will likely continue through mid-winter. The SOI was +8.51 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.924 today. The NAO was -1.404. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal October (1991-2020 normal). October will likely finish with a mean temperature near 58.3° (0.4° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 1.4° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.
  12. ha, new NAM's all the way down to just .27 at Logan from this
  13. The trend is correct since it incorporates the 30 years before and after the new ASOS was put into the shade in 1995. I have posted a whole series of charts and data showing the issues after the move in other threads in even greater detail. The MIC at Upon NWS office back in the early 2000s admitted as much in several news stories at the time. They had to make big compromises in the integrity of the Central Park record in order to keep the station open after the NWS moved out to Upton in 1993. Placing a thermometer under a tree canopy on sunny days when fully leafed out will result in at least a 2° to 3° cooling during the peak daily heating relative to the temperatures in a nearby clearing like the Great Lawn or other open areas of the park away from the dense wooded area next to the castle.
  14. Are the winds for tonight or tomorrow during the day? Supposed to have my chimney re-pointed and a new cap installed. Ain't gonna happen if it's windy.
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