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We uninstalled. Could’ve done it a week ago.
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Like the 0Z run had (I didn’t post it), the 12Z UKMET continues with the MDR TS, very likely headed for a recurve in the middle of the ocean: NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 13.3N 34.5W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 15.09.2025 120 14.2N 35.3W 1008 28 0000UTC 16.09.2025 132 15.1N 38.9W 1007 30 1200UTC 16.09.2025 144 16.7N 41.0W 1006 36 0000UTC 17.09.2025 156 17.7N 42.9W 1005 41 1200UTC 17.09.2025 168 19.2N 45.2W 1003 44
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Visible satellite shows some dry air trying to eat away at it in the nw areas. It looks like we're in it for a while east of the fall line.
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Mountain West Discussion
donsutherland1 replied to mayjawintastawm's topic in Central/Western States
My points are as follows: 1) Denver has seen a dramatic increase in hot days. I used 90° highs as an example. The increase is more than just a result of a location change, even as location changes have an impact, otherwise there wouldn't be warming trends across the entire state. Indeed, I've often noted that adjusted data is superior to raw data, precisely because sites move, environments change, times of observation may change, etc. for climate purposes. 2) The broad idea of a greater frequency of hot days does not negate the existence of localized climates or microclimates. Moreover, that idea applies beyond Denver. For example, Boulder has seen half of years with 50 or more 90° or above days and four of its five years with 20 or more 95° or above highs occur since 2000. For Pueblo, 14 of its 17 years with 80 or more 90° days and 9 of its 10 years with 50 or more 95° days have occurred since 2000. In short, in Colorado's populated areas, the 2000s have seen a disproportionate share of hot days. No other period rivals the 2000s in terms of the frequency of such heat. 3. The old Stapleton Airport does not have a continuous record. The old site was demolished and replaced with Central Park. A new ASOS was installed around 2022 there. -
Probably one of the better hail setups we've had in quite some time.
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2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
https://psl.noaa.gov/gcos_wgsp/Timeseries/Data/dmi.had.long.data -
Snowman, thanks. Do you have a link to a table of monthly IOD history?
- Today
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Really nice looking hail setup
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you're thankful for a cloudy morning? man, you have really jumped the shark.
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@Gawx This may well turn into the strongest -IOD event since 1917 and 1933….
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63 here and .13" precip so far
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Posted a request in the mod forum but that place is a ghost town. @dendrite can you help?
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This back door marine flow is not going to let go.
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My guess is that @stormtracker is less active here in the summer months. Maybe one of the local MA administrators will reach out.
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63 currently. Doubt I even get to 70 today
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Yea, I didn't expect this weather today, but looks like a glitch compared to the upcoming pattern.
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Back in England today. Drizzly mist and 65 here.
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Not sure, I put in a request back in May, just waiting to hear back and provide whatever proof they need.
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Managed about .25 of drizzle/light rain in Del Ray Alexandria this am. A lot more useful than .25 in a thunderstorm.