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  2. weatherwiz
    I find it odd that we can't develop storms tomorrow afternoon. NAM actually swings some decent s/w energy through during peak heating. NAM actually develops QPF between 18z-21z into western sections and then it goes poof.
  3. MarcmmKU
    Pesky omega block. Those things do not let up unless they are torn apart somehow. Delayed start to fall for those of us to our south and west. We appear to be on the fringe of it and thus will be only slightly AN.
  4. LakePaste25
    1+2 has been marching back upward and the 20C isotherm in the subsurface itself has still been pressing deeper in the 1+2 region (i can’t show the GIF here due to file size limits), so if anything it’s been getting even more east-based despite Nino 3.4 flattening. I am keeping an eye out for a sudden jump in 3.4 because of this.
  5. JakkelWx
    There were very frequent and long 3-4 second flashes last night, and then some positive CG with the loud thunder today as well. Over an inch of rain past 24 hours.
  6. TriPol started following September 2026
  7. TriPol
    It's September 2. Let's not make bold predictions this early into September.
  8. Midshore
    1.30"
  9. Elim72
    What are the models looking like for this evening?
  10. The Dude
    .22" here, and some decent thunder and lightning
  11. CoastalWx
    Models trying to stein
  12. canderson
    .8” rain from this late morning / early afternoon storms. So 1.45” or so within 14 hours. Not bad.
  13. TheClimateChanger
    Would also match the monthly record high minimum, set 4 times (all from the old city station, with the last date in 1922). 77F is the highest at ORD (9/10/2013).
  14. BeastFromTheEast
    I think we tied a record high min today @ORD 78. @Chicago Storm As long as we don’t dip below 78 before midnight tonight we should tie it.
  15. BeastFromTheEast
    ORD tied a record high min today of 78. Should hold I don’t think we dip below 80 by midnight tonight.
  16. Stormchaserchuck1
    Yeah.. better models don't really show it. 30 days until the correlation increases by 3-4x!
  17. MarcmmKU
    Looks like September will end up being the hottest summer month for TX/OK.
  18. MarcmmKU
    Not at all my area, (but it does indirectly affect our weather), but when do you think the huge ridge over the southern plains/southeast will let up?
  19. Cyclone-68
    That marginal line runs through Braintree and Weymouth. Figures..The summer of FU continues
  20. TheClimateChanger
    Both Detroit and Chicago have reached at least 96F, possibly 97F. Believe it or not, that's the hottest September reading at Chicago since 1985. Much more recent at DTW - 98F in 2011.
  21. Stormchaserchuck1
    Thanks! They don't have SST so I will still have to find something for May-Sept N. Atlantic SSTA index. Here's that arctic -H5 for the warm season this year 90N.. just where my reverse correlation for the Winter is the highest. Expect 90N H5 ridging for the DJFM mean.
  22. Stormchaserchuck1
    Thanks!
  23. Stormchaserchuck1
    Well in the Deep south +2-7F occurred in August and the model at a 0.0 month lead had ~0F. Denver verified +4F vs the models -3F.
  24. Stormchaserchuck1
    It's interesting because it seems to be effecting the Southern Hemisphere. October is the start of big wavelength correlations, so it will be so interesting to see what happens in about a month! If the -H5 doesn't form over the N. Pacific, score a big one for the PDO.
  25. WxWatcher007
    Found this interesting
  26. olafminesaw
    I doubt it given the limited scope, maybe different if the band had parked over a major city
  27. Stormchaserchuck1
    I've been traumatized by this ridge in the SW, US/Rockies for the past 1 year. There are +6F anomalies for the whole 12 months! Also looking at global temperature every day, it really has gone warm lately. France has also seen 5 record breaking heat waves this Summer. We can do a cold pattern in the Winter, but I don't know that the upper latitudes (blocking potential) won't be squeezed out by El Nino or the -PDO/whatever the global pattern is in the Pacific. Fairbanks, Alaska was 1F away from their lowest Summer max temp all time, and I ran those analogs forward to find out they go +EPO in Winter.
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