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2026-2027 Super El Nino
LakePaste25 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Do you know what the solid red contours and the dashed blue contours mean? Trying to learn this. -
July 23 1987: The greatest deluge ever recorded begins in the Twin Cities, with 10 inches of rain in six hours at MSP airport. For Thursday, July 23, 2026 1788 - A weather diary kept by George Washington recorded that the center of a hurricane passed directly over his Mount Vernon home. The hurricane crossed eastern North Carolina and Virginia before moving into the Central Appalachians. Norfolk, VA, reported houses destroyed, trees uprooted, and crops leveled to the ground. (David Ludlum) 1898 - A two hour thunderstorm deluged Atlanta, GA, with 4.32 inches of rain. More than a foot of water flooded Union Depot. Many street car motors burned out while trying to run through flooded streets. It grew so dark before the afternoon storm that gas lights were needed. (The Weather Channel) 1923 - Sheridan, WY, was drenched with 4.41 inches of rain, an all-time 24 hour record for that location. Associated flooding washed out 20 miles of railroad track. (22nd-23rd) (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Thunderstorms produced a record ten inches of rain in six and a half hours at Minneapolis, MN, including 5.26 inches in two hours. Flash flooding claimed two lives and caused 21.3 million dollars damage. Streets in Minneapolis became rushing rivers, parking lots became lakes, and storm sewers spouted like geysers. A tornado hit Maple Grove, MN, causing five million dollars damage. Baseball size hail was reported at Olivia, MN. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather in Lower Michigan and northern Ohio, over eastern sections of the Dakotas, and over the Central High Plains Region. Showers and thunderstorms soaked Wilmington, NC, with another two inches of rain, following six and a half inches the previous day. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Morning thunderstorms in the central U.S. drenched central Oklahoma with up to six inches of rain. Afternoon thunderstorms produced wind gusts to 85 mph at Fort Smith, AR. Evening thunderstorms over Florida spawned a tornado which touched down three times in south Fort Myers causing nearly three quarters of a million dollars damage. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) Observances: 23 Thu National Gorgeous Grandma Day 23 Thu Hot Enough For Ya Day 23 Thu International Yada Yada Yada Day 23 Thu National Sprinkle Day 23 Thu National Vanilla Ice Cream Day 23 Thu National Women Touched By Addiction Day 23 Thu Peanut Butter and Chocolate Day 23 Thu World Sjogren's Day
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3.5 inches so far, finally a good rain
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If you could re-experience ONE winter event....
sbnwx85 replied to cyclone77's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I remember my mom telling me about water skiing and barbecuing at the lake on Christmas of ‘82. -
E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
BBasile replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
It's a drone. A DJI Mini. -
You have been here for one of the more interesting periods weather wise. Do not recall such intense thunderstorms on consecutive days like this in quite some time.
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I do wonder if the low-level circulation is reforming further south near the mid-level circulation in Bertha.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
bluewave replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
An interesting question is why the recent 2023 developing super El Niño was able to break from the warmer 2020s -PDO/+AMO summer atmospheric mid-latitude pattern and this one in 2026 hasn’t so far? We’ll have to just wait and see how things go heading into the fall and winter. Since a lingering -PDO atmospheric pattern could potentially alter the state of the Aleutian low and possibly even where the maximum STJ precipitation zones set up. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
As strong El Niño as it gets….. And the subsurface heat/DWKW is reloading and strengthening under the 30C warm pool and is going to get pushed to the South American coast in the next month by the DWKWs and WWBs. The thermocline depression is ridiculous -
Definitely. But the worst is likely behind us. August heat never feels as bad with the lowering sun angle at least in my opinion.
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HRRR looks a lot better for your area today. 2”+. Hope it works out - this event could go a long long way to breaking this drought for all of us.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yes, but that doesn't render them worthless...rather it's incumbent on a quality seasonal forecaster to apply the necessary modifcations. -
Big points for the RRFS, or as I call it, Rufus. It had the I-40 corridor getting slammed for the Wed Eve-Thursday morning period first among the cams.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
SnoSki14 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
We are also relying on analogs that might as well be from an ancient timeline. -
Just 1.21 here
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
bluewave replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
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If you mean no more 100s then most likely but it's only July 23. Heat will likely return sometime in August
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58 here. Nice morning.
