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I wasn't talking about Miller A systems in general...I was referencing 1 4 2018.

18.0" was the final here.

we need this

Yeah that’s what I was getting at . Do we get a foot .. or can we get 4 feet?

Cannot be slipping away fast with more than 4 days to go....been there done this way too many times.

this would be great

We do need it to dig a little less and occlude later. On these models that boot it out it occludes very early and then bounces east. It needs to gain some latitude before occluding. I would assume those tucked in models dig it less and occlude it a little later. We also need to watch the shortwave over the upper Midwest-it can act as a kicker.

We actually dont have that going for us because it does happen and it would fit this pattern.

the escape east we've all been waiting for. Sucks

I think this will come down to some of the mesoscale models with-in the 12-36 hr timeframe before we really know the dynamics of the ULL. Globals are going to paint a broad path but the hi-res models will hopefully nail any enhancement starting on the lee-side. Long ways to go with many solutions still on the table.

Significant amount of ice on the Hudson this morning compared to last night.

Might be headed to Duck, NC to chase some snow for this one.

Thanks, no one else realized this so it’s a big deal you were here to dispense this unique and keen insight.

it actually has happened before, several times as I'm aware. may not be common place, but its not unpreceded, for sure

16.5". What a change from couple wks ago when all the bitching and nooses were starting to come out. Deep winter rolls on.

I'm not seeing the social media hype over this one. Grocery stores are quite. If this suddenly trends our way the normies are going to die fighting over toilet paper.

Unless you were in CT? We definitely benefit being south. These Miller A s death bands in occluded situations like to set up across Southern SNE see 12/21/09

Given trough placement this has eastern NC written all over it. With the strong ULL I think everyone can score some Arctic powder but the coastal needs the trough to go full negative to get western areas involved

Give it til Thursday its going to keep bouncing around

you and I are similar in thought. With this setup, a little more tucked would go a long way (thinking wester) in qpf. Based on overnighters its not unreasonable. 6z GFS ticked west off Va coast as did qpf. couple more moves like that and we back into something. at 114 Icon notably west of 0z 6z euro at 123 is stalled off carolina coast, and trough going notably neg. Thats a good sign as itll give this big dog a chance to come up and not out. I'm in a good mood, so I'm only posting positive trends (as they are things I look for when sniffing fr storms. Yall can share the negatives

It's not over until the CFS says it's over.

( o )( o ) these are headlights in the snow.

12Z runs are beginning.... take whining to the Panic thread.

Reached a low of 6