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Pittsburgh/Western PA WINTER ‘25/‘26
TheClimateChanger replied to Burghblizz's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I just figured I'd take a look and see what it shows for Pittsburgh, after seeing Clay Travis's post on X/Twitter saying it was showing 15-18" for Nashville on Saturday. -
Manges to get us our consolation prize with the NS scooping up the leftover moisture. Which, while obviously not what we want, is nice to have as a backup.
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North and West started following Possible Record Breaking Cold + Snow 1/23 - 1/25
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Lol are we really going to get the old okey doak with this thing?
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ICON at the end of its range was more suppressed than 12z too
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I didn’t look. Saw poster above allude to rgem. Just looked at the 18z icon and gfs runs.
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South shift but begins to turn north...
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MO/KS/AR/OK 2025-2026 Winter Discussion
MUWX replied to stormdragonwx's topic in Central/Western States
The GFS just keeps getting worse. -
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January 25/26 Jimbo Back Surgery Storm
franklin NCwx replied to Jimbo!'s topic in Southeastern States
Im starting to think northern Mississippi, N Bama, N GA through the upstate will be the sweet spot. Perfect over running event with the high working in tandem over the Midwest -
From a N stream system or a Southern stream system view in a fast moving environment, these two scenarios make sense.. and suck
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I think we are about to find out that models which were trying to crash a slp into a 1045 were maybe out to lunch.
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GFS is a step back from 12z as it doesn't have any real interaction between the NS and SW. However, as mentioned in my post still a chance we get a storm from the NS if it dives enough south. As for the RGEM and NAM they both look good I like them as they have NS energy entering into where it may capture the SW like every other model.
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Seems to be delayed with the primary impulse which has been the trend lately. I think it's going to be a good run for many
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What storm was it recently where we were in the bullseye but there was some suppression risk and then the bleed started to happen and it ultimately ended up a Norfolk blizzard?
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January 25/26 Jimbo Back Surgery Storm
Thrasher Fan replied to Jimbo!'s topic in Southeastern States
Out to 114h and we do get a bit of a jog south. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
Ralph Wiggum replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
AI is wayyy south. Suppression is a very major concern. -
Possible Record Breaking Cold + Snow 1/23 - 1/25
milleand replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
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The 18z AIGFS has completely abandoned its amped solution - almost a pure slider now w/ even a secondary wave of over-running right behind it. And right behind that...a clipper.
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Possible Record Breaking Cold + Snow 1/23 - 1/25
Franklin0529 replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
Of course there's gonna be flip flopping. Not gonna stay the same every single run -
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I believe its the only model holding the Baja low back now. Whatever it spits out is probably not going to be correct
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The upper level flow is still very much NS dominant. Your idea of the southern stream energy coming out in pieces makes more sense than one big storm imo and, frankly, is what the h5 map shows on the gfs. We’re up against atmospheric memory rn.
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thread got jinxed
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Yeah but that news is being tempered a bit at the moment... ai runs are more south this afternoon, smh
