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Good to see GFS coming around.

5 days out not bad, gfs is playing catch up

I am tracking a potential HECS in this same house exactly ten years later (but with three more kids this time lol). Time is a flat circle (IYKYK).

There's still more than enough snow. You make it sound like it's bad.

Yup lol she will get there!!!

Dayum...from an inch or maybe two at 12Z, to a foot-plus in the DMV! The 10:1 ratios are still on the order of @stormtracker's baseline of 6-10" area wide.

yea, i don't get that wwa expansion southward. the trend today has been north and drier. edit: latest rap and hrrr are completely dry across the area now.

That might be the most absurd run ever at any timeframe for NC

Hope we actually can improve considerably on this though. There has got to be a limit with how far north this can go..

Yeah this falls more in line with the other models. May still not be done correcting as it wasnt even a clean or full phase .

So nice to see GFS come around!!! !!! All on board now!!!

Tehehehe

We'll need good northern stream involvement with that late phase-in of extra energy to get blizzard into the equation (kind of like what CMC shows)....otherwise I'm not seeing the wind criteria. We need to get that sfc low a lot closer to tighten the pressure gradient.

I think the AI GFS fed the GFS the DGEX as part of its takeover.

There is no way that verifies even close. I do not think it is possible to get 3 feet in the Piedmont.

Went from ~0.06" QPF to ~0.75" around DC from 12z to 18z. Love the GFS.

Gfs still fighting for its life to catch up. Interested in gefs

Love seeing the totals there in a correction run. Have to think of more phasing occurs those numbers are between rich and Baltimore areas. Shows what kind of potential this has and that run didn’t even do the full Monty.

I mean it had blank spots of near zip and now all of that 0.50+

What a time to be alive.

correct, thus me saying big improvement?

Gotta save that one for the archives. Think thats the most snow ever shown in WNC within 5 days in my 25 years of computer model watching.

Yeeeaaah I dont think so lol

Precip shield is further north and more robust than 12z!