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I must say this was an off run anyway - def a lot less put together of a storm. Little precarious

The wave on the CMC looks more organixed at hour 96

Raining in Meriden, CT ATM. That warm front meant business this morning.

Is this like when Cranky thought Hurricane Michael was a cat 2? I’m laughing but I honestly don’t know.

yes i agree with this as it stands right now, the weak wave sunday brings the jet stream way south and doesn't develop the following wave but cmc got it done somehow

Two of my favorites here from the day after.

https://x.com/nwscpc/status/2026392422859649389?s=46 .

Don, when was the last time we had a below normal January AND February during a dying La Nina?

Still time for next week

It gives me faith that I can produce a multitude of ways in the future. It’s been a tremendous year at SLK with only 3 or four low end warning level events.

Shocker or is it right where we want it this far out

Looks fine

Kind of dumping graupel right now. Weird. 26F

0z GFS wants to give favored CAD areas in NC and upstate a krispy kreme glaze on the 3rd

Those general upslope areas seem to have done ok which makes sense given the number of clippers and northwest flow disturbances we’ve had…but once you are further east out of the upslope spots, its def been pretty dry.

GFS trending towards other guidance.

Between this story and that YouTube above, this guy is total dink. There's a way to commit to the bit and make it funny. He's just sort of an asshole. And (likely) wrong in his assertions. A truly terrible combination.

Gfs further south I still think Sunday wave ruins the Mondays storm. Better runs had that wave non existent. That wave drags the trough further south for monday.

I dissent I think the tempo fits just fine! In fact, a case could be made that this tempo makes the eventual POP! more effective because it's more of a walking tempo (the GIF about 97 bpm...so Andante) That is just slow enough to kinda lull ya before surprise--just like the famous movement from Haydn's "Surprise" symphony (which incidentally also goes well with this, haha) That tempo is an Andante as well which makes the surprise even better. Do it too fast and the POP loses it's distinctiveness. So...walk don't run before the POP! That's my musical case for why that tempo works and I dares is even better!

I still think Sunday wave ruins the Mondays storm. Better runs had that wave non existent. That wave drags the trough further south for monday.

Well, Pivotal says 5, so what do I know...Kuchera. SV maps are so bad. I dunno. It was def drier than 18z

ATP, this is the GFS going toward the EURO. Looks like we're tracking a 1 to 2 inch snow

Snow over the area at 114, but....a good bit drier for most

I (so badly) want this to be a troll job by him, but based on the evidence (read: his posts here), my conclusion is that he is, most certainly, NOT.

Yeah, GFS is drier out west...prob gonna be drier overall from what I can see