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It's swamp toast outside. I figured there has to be some boundaries laid down from this mornings action Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk

Where'd all the rain go? Just disappeared.

Hrrr has been insistent with a line of storms coming off the mountains and into the metros near and after midnight

This is like ground hog day, just got back from town. Minor street flooding until 1/4th mile from my road, then dry and dusty with sunshine at my house.

Happy birthday!

I just got back from Maine, there was a nice cool breeze last couple of days.

My particular spot is almost always missed in both directions. Kinda like the Tamaqua Split. It's cloudy but not a single drop yet. About an hour ago a storm popped up to the east. Another went to the south. Nothing here.

I’m doing an AmericanWx ‘25 Open Championship contest in the PGA Tour thread of the Sports section in case anyone is interested. Several from here often participate in these:

3rd flood watch and stuck at half an inch for the week. Radar is empty this is unreal.

In theory, yes. But the Arctic is warming faster than the mid-latitudes and the deep cold pool is shrinking. That’s reducing the coverage of fold anomalies even against a warmer baseline.

I'm not sure we need a flood watch today. Seems like the boy who cried wolf. Looks like the activity is winding down for the day. Not bad at all today. Nice breeze, cloudy and not that hot.

Smoke quickly exiting the area with a SW flow. AQI down from 185 to 101

Thanks Don. But as 30 year “normals” also rise, shouldn’t the cold anomaly coverage in cold shots at least in theory be as expansive as before?

Good studies. I suspect that the warming of the West Pacific is having an impact on the polar vortex. Arctic outbreaks remain possible and it is plausible that they can, at times, penetrate farther south than they had in the past. However, because the deep cold pool is smaller than it was prior to 2000, in general, the cold shots tend not to be as expansive or as prolonged as they once were absent a "stuck pattern." That's why the overall coverage of cold anomalies is typically less than it was during earlier winters (e.g., February 1979 vs. February 2015) and the only nationwide winter among the top 30 coldest winters among the 2000s was 2009-10.

86 / 74

Got almost an inch earlier. Not as electrical as yesterday’s storms.

Oh I love these, but don't they need to be in the water (like in a pond)?

it cleared out here just before 11 lol

How did you like 2010 when it was hot without too much humidity? I'd love to know how the Bermuda High was aligned that summer to give us such wonderful weather. To be more specific, how was it aligned in the July 4-7 period when JFK was 100+ on three out of four days? Was it similar to how it was aligned in early July 1966 when JFK was 100+ for three consecutive days?

the warmer air can also hold more moisture before it starts to rain.

I don't mind the no record high mins but it's rather boring without triple digit temperatures, luckily we got that in June, otherwise our summers have been mediocre since 2013.

3pm Columbia: still raining steady and rather light, temp down to 79, eyeballing approx 2/10” since about noon, will measure later.

It's been mostly sunny here since before noon.

I think the low was 50 even in Central Park in August 1986 in the period I referenced in my above post, Chris. It felt like early fall, very low humidity, clear blue skies, very crisp, my first time viewing the Perseids and it was the best I ever saw them from here. The only time I saw them better was from the Poconos a few years ago, in varying colors (something you can't see in a light polluted area like we live in.) You can't even see the Milky Way in our disgustingly high level of light pollution, something you can see in the Poconos even during twilight before the sky is fully dark!

I enjoyed the beach days better during the cooler summers like 2009 and 2004. Much smaller crowds coming into Long Beach with less traffic and parking issues. Also significantly better temperatures for bike riding the boardwalk. During that cool 2004 summer there were plenty of days in the 70s in Long Beach. So on one occasion I was able to get a 40 mile bike ride in. During some of the warmest summers, it was a struggle to even get a good 10-20 miler in at times.