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  2. Rd9108
    Agreed he always looks for the reason why it will be cold. Others though have jumped on the winter isnt done yet so we shall see. Wouldn't mind one more couple week period in march before we get an early spring.
  3. MJO812
    Same pattern continues with the northeast
  4. MJO812
  5. MJO812
  6. WeatherGeek2025
    dude that's a 6-12 inches! amazing thank you
  7. Ji
    this 18z run is the biggest AI run in AI history
  8. DavisStraight
    Probably right, I just remember showing the temp and the flags blowing in the wind. Crazy game.
  9. nycsnow
    https://x.com/weatherprof/status/2022438348405481832?s=46
  10. WeatherGeek2025
    you see that arctic blast on the gfs around the 27th? that's some serious cold. GFS doesn't give no warm up besides tomorrow and next week for a couple of days!
  11. nw baltimore wx
    I hope they know that there is zero reason to put down more salt.
  12. MikeB_01
    JB is a tough one for me to trust/rely on. I generally think his forecasting is decent, but he is a wishcaster. Always thinks we are a week away from a big snow storm. .
  13. CAPE
    I tend to agree wrt the potential centered on the 20th, but it has trended somewhat colder overall on the ens means and still 7 days out, so worth monitoring for more favorable changes.
  14. MJO812
    The negative PNA should help us out as long as the blocking also helps.
  15. Itstrainingtime
    And then...came the 18z GFS.
  16. RU848789
    Even the UK is waking up at least a little...
  17. mahantango#1
    Is it me or is anybody else noticing that the snow cover is getting less, but I don't see any puddles or runoff. It just seems to be evaporating.
  18. Jns2183
    We might as well get the #drought moniker going. I fear this could be the year we truly bake under the vine come summer, with full water restrictions everywhere and the bit. It's been 20 years, we are certainly due and this winter looks to be setting it up perfectly. I hope I eat a big fat crow on this one vs praying for a tropical system to save us. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk
  19. BornAgain13
    18z GFS actually moved it up to a Day 9-10 threat and not 10-11. More in line with Euro AI.
  20. eduggs
    Verbatim one of the best 10-day runs of the season. Several snow threats in there. But there are no slam dunks or easy wins in that run. Could be several hits or several misses. Low margins as usual. Before I get excited about the mid- or long-range I'm pulling for a 2-4" event Sunday night.
  21. Joshb32689
    https://x.com/WeatherProf/status/2022438348405481832 I don’t know what the GRAF is but damn
  22. Ralph Wiggum
  23. CPcantmeasuresnow
    I've only been keeping snow coverage records for 10 years but this isn't the top season yet, with 60 days and counting, in the last ten. 2016/17 was 85 days, and 2017/18 was 70 days, helped along of course by an epic March and beginning of April. If we can have another solid four weeks it should beat both.
  24. GaWx
    It’s because Feb 1-12 2026 has been brutal (coldest in many years) while Feb 1-12 of 2025 was the warmest in many decades in much of SE.
  25. CoastalWx
    Yeah exactly. You’re loaded.
  26. MJO812
    Snowy gfs run
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