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Nov 28-30th Post Turkey Day Wintry Potential
Sciascia replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
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Nov 28-30th Post Turkey Day Wintry Potential
SchaumburgStormer replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Based on recent multiyear trends... - Nice long range signal (check) - 3 days out, epic Euro run (check) - South, Drier, Weaker trend to begin (pending) - Model rug pull within 30 hours (pending) - 1-2" actual result (pending) -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
moneypitmike replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
MOS/MEX snow totals -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Go Kart Mozart replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
muthufukka = mother fucker. Just kidding, I've wondered about that one too. -
Hopefully we don't get above 55 degrees all winter. There is something deeply unwholesome about 70 degrees in the middle of winter.
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E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2025 Obs/Discussion
JTA66 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Glad to see Dr. No is already in mid-season form. Picked up a little more than 0.50” yesterday. Currently 57F. Maybe I can reach 60F if the sun pops out. -
Full climo for the month and we reinvigorate the December 5th Rule. Sold.
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2025-2026 ENSO
donsutherland1 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Things continue to evolve nicely toward a cold and snowy pattern in the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes Region with the cold then expanding eastward. The probability of a moderate to significant snowfall in such cities as Chicago, Detroit, Milwaukee, and Toronto during November 29-30 has increased. As a result, Chicago will likely see its snowiest autumn since 2019 and possibly 2018. As the cold spreads into the East, at least some accumulations of snow are likely across Central/Upstate New York and central/northern New England. There is even a chance that some snow could reach the coastal plain, especially from New Jersey north and eastward. Statistically, during December 1980-2024, 11% of days have seen measurable snowfall in New York City when the EPO, WPO, and PNA were negative. That would translate into an expected value of 1.1 days during the December 1-10 period. Significant (6" or above) snowstorms have not occurred during the first half of December when the PNA was negative (1950-2024). Boston has seen three significant snowfalls during a PNA- during the first half of December, the biggest being 10.5" during December 13-14, 2007 (NYC saw 0.2" from that storm). -
December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
At least you own it brother,lol. Many of us fell for it. The Warmanistas are still trying to twist their reasoning and deny any fails. -
I've been able to osmotically pick up on what most terms used on this board mean over time but this one here, I'm still struggling to figure it out. Can anyone help a brother out?
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Hit 70 today. Probably the last one for a while.
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ukmet is probably the worst model next to Icon?
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i hope we get endless failed snow threats and they turn everyone's spirits into ashes
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Nov 28-30th Post Turkey Day Wintry Potential
Frog Town replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Smells a lot like '13-'14 all over again! Everything that year trended colder and snowier. Please, just please. -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
weathafella replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
First muthufukkas of the season for BOS -
this and the cold could overwhelm the pattern which leads to cold/dry
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Just went for a walk in a t shirt and shorts. It's a really nice day out
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
HIPPYVALLEY replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
With a Miller A’s I pretty much don’t even start thinking about it until we’re 3 days out. Great to have something to track early season though! -
What an awful day. The 2 breaks I had in classroom training and it was just damp and raw. Misty on drive home.
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E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2025 Obs/Discussion
RedSky replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
12z euro op says forgetta bout anything -
66. Sun finally broke out in the last hour. Attack of the ladybugs.
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Euro is also weak and suppressed.
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Nov 28-30th Post Turkey Day Wintry Potential
michsnowfreak replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Lol 5 days ago this was a raging SE ridge
