All Activity

High of 42

I only care what happens downstairs.

Snowpack nuked today. Torch has begun. I’m all for it just need a soaker now

I have a bad feeling the frigid waters will come back and bite us all through April and May as we sit in mid 40s and gunk/drizzle. It'll take sustained warmth to turn that around.

You do realize that the sleet bomb in the teens we had a couple of weeks ago was due to the mid-levels only. Nothing to do with the surface. And that was with a low cutting into the Ohio valley or there about. Point is, yeah, we were "saved" by very cold surface air in place while the surface and 850 low went way to our west but that was particular to that event. That doesn't mean such a thing would necessarily happen in another scenario where it's cold enough for snow but we get a better low track, say if that happens later this month or in March. You still don't need the coldest of the cold to get a good snow event here, even in the DC-Balt corridor.

I should have posted that in the other thread because most here only care about the surface- specifically snow maps. It all happens upstairs.

She is a tool. It’s 10 Feb.

Low of 26 at 5:57am, high of 71 at 4:21pm. The north-side shadow sleet remains..for now. I'm really hoping for a good wash of the roads tomorrow, but chances of that are diminishing.

That's because there is a lack of precip now. It's not from lack of cold air up there.

You don’t maybe. Don’t agree on that point. We had a sleet bomb in the teens. Never imagined that would happen. For many of us average temps suck ass for snow. That is my considered opinion.

Disparity. Which one is closer to reality? Time will tell. A strong jet streak upstream amplifies the trough on the Euro. Not so much on the GFS.

If this is it for prolonged cold and lots of snow chances, I’m glad we had a front loaded winter for once. I’m fine with an early spring with the kind of winter we had in December and January.

The low pulled in some quite mild air that will now be forced up and over as the support vanishes. It was up to near 50F in w PA and parts of w NY. I think 2 to 4 inches may be fairly widespread except in s.w. CT where 0.5 to 1.0 inch would be my call. Local 4 to 6 inch bands in VT, NH and ME still seem possible.

47 for a high imby. Shaded and wooded areas look untouched.

Seems like we're battling quite a bit of virga in Leb, humidity is at 50%. Flurries to very light snow despite ~25 dbz.

Dont forget your favorite storm, Feb 2021. However, neither of those two you listed were historic (18"+) for S/SW CT, like you guys get consistently with Jan 22, Jan 15, Feb 15 etc with those crazy 18-30+ numbers. Both those storms may have sucked in E MA but they werent historic level storms either around here.

Is timing on the stuff like 9-12?

Rap increased QPF a lot on 21z run compared to previous several runs. Mostly due to the convective stuff performing better.

I have 6" log outer walls- R value isnt the best but not as relevant because of the high thermal mass(heat storing capability).

Well, I wouldn't take what some deterministic model says at face value going farther out in time. I mean heck...if anyone saw the 12Z GFS earlier, it had cold coming back in the last part of its run and even had a decent snow event around the 24th. Not that it matters really that far out. So whatever.

I think most of Maine does well, maybe 3-4 where I am and the coast north of Portland up to 8 inches.

Kinda weird since he would just regurgitate anything the Euro spits out.

radar backfilling in NY, maybe can catch some of that later, they cancelled basketball tonight because of this, amazing...

I only lived there one year ‘95-96, but this was my experience there. Not sure I saw the sun for 2-3 months.

Yea. C-1” for SWCT.