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  2. Coach McGuirk
    https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=seus&pkg=asnow&runtime=2026012118&fh=120
  3. George001 started following MJO812
  4. bncho
    That Baja low is not budging...
  5. BristowWx
    I was lost when things looked better. Now I’m pissing my pants when the microwave turns on. I got nothing but it’s still cold. Hanging my hat on that.
  6. ChescoWx
    That is a great stat there!! thanks!!
  7. Solution Man
    I think we’re gonna like it
  8. HoarfrostHubb
    Grok thought mountain lion too. But I highly doubt it.
  9. Hurricane Agnes
    The small tube in my Stratus got a crack at some point so need to replace that. And for completeness - the EC 18zs...
  10. pazzo83
    yeah i'm pretty sure it was 2015 - I remember we were shaded in the 18-24"+ zone, basically the entire tri state was. But then we got like 10" maybe in Manhattan, dry slotted like crazy. Eastern LI and CT got hammered.
  11. Santa Claus
    thank you donald
  12. Ralph Wiggum
    Watch the models decide to bury the sw out in baja at 0z now.
  13. brooklynwx99
    i doubt that happens with this kind of mid-level forcing moving in
  14. *Flash*
    Good news for east TN I suppose... https://x.com/frankiemacd/status/2013760806991585329?s=46&t=jJibs_QYWrPscWIaTl9hgw
  15. WeatherGeek2025
    Don, you're the statistics man, do you happen to know what type of system those were? what type of storms were they and what type of airmass (temps) we had during the storms?
  16. Kasper
    Now back to the models
  17. Chicago916
    Sampling of the Baja low not included in the NAM (doesn't matter cuz it sucks anyways) but good for other models. So that won't explain any changes seen down there. https://x.com/i/status/2014131199120162993
  18. Damage In Tolland
    About 1”
  19. Phelps
    Yeah I don’t think any humans would be forecasting 8-12 for Boone right now. Not saying it’s impossible, but certainly doesn’t appear to be the most likely outcome as of now.
  20. Kay
    I remember many years in which it was debated, by smart people, here and on twitter. But now I see mets saying it all the time and turning up in lwx discussions so (idk, shrug?)
  21. clskinsfan
    50/50 looks better positioned than 18z. But I really dont know what I am looking for anymore.
  22. Damage In Tolland
    There’s a lot of snow coming the next 20-30 days
  23. SnowenOutThere
    Same, issue is if the NS hangs north our confluence hangs north too. I think in general we want a deamped SW and a further east/weaker 2nd NS lobe (which enters the picture around hour 60).
  24. CDUB_VOL
    First time posting but been following for years. I have one question what time will the 0Z GFS roll out?
  25. raindancewx
    The early CPC outlook with TX/OK/KS/NM warm only marginally favored for precip for Jan 21-27 isn't looking so great now. When the cold retrogresses it goes hard. We've got some -50 wind chills coming in the Plains in some of the places that were running +10F winter to date. Looks pretty damn cold here now for a little while. Average high is ~48-49 late January for ABQ.
  26. donsutherland1
    For reference: Since 2000, there have been only two days with 4" or more snow and a 20:1 or above snow-liquid ratio in New York City: January 28, 2004 4.3" snow/0.18" precipitation (the snow-liquid ratio for the entire January 27-28, 2004 storm was just below 16:1 with 10.3" snow and 0.65" precipitation) January 23, 2005 5.3" snow/0.25" precipitation
  27. GBOVolz
    And this is why I’m so surprised so many are latching on to it. It’s been all over the place and made pretty wild jumps. .
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