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Which one is this? I do think we need the morning as insurance against the precip shield.

Any euro snow map

29/27

“Relax man“? - you do succeed at one thing, dissuading me from even wanting to read that thing

^To add to this, after all the nonstop hype and bombastic posts on twitter from a few people (some pro mets) about a record-breaking very strong WWB coming….they have some explaining to do, now that the actual WWB strength is going to be nowhere near as close to what they were predicting…guaranteeing really….

Were you rooting for them? I kinda wasn't, lol Allen almost got away with turning it over 4 times and I woulda been annoyed since Lamar makes 1 or 2 and doesn't get bailed out!

Cold but no snow here in KILN-land. Temps going to be pretty cold through Wednesday.

First 00z model with the improvements you want to see.. much better at 500. Should pound especially out east. Looks like my initial morning band is fading, but the evening snow looks healthy.

back in the day we use to get those shocks....you never were ready....jan 1987 was an example; there was no internet or anything, no cellphones....i went to work in the shipping and receiving dept of the bell towers in piscataway, it being the only job an english degree could get me, and a temp job at that, and by 10 am they were sending everyone home. took me several hours in white out conditions; march 92 also was a surprise, two late storms.

The HRRR has gotten the 0z cycle off to a promising start with a deeper, closer, snowier solution across NJ and eastern PA.

I wouldn't get so concerned. I feel like over the last couple of days the model showed lots of cold and lots of snow chances, then some models showed cold and dry. Today was a good example of things can change in an instant. None of us expected the snowfall we got in Connecticut today or even where you were. It was supposed to be an inch or to it most, and I honestly didn't even think we'd see an inch. I wound up getting 4". And now tomorrow is looking like a decent 3-5/4-6 event. Again, this was supposed to be an out to sea storm. And you more than anyone here should know that things will change as we head through the week.

Looks way better than 18z .

This looks pretty good. If we can get the low just a tad west and the precipitation field more expansive we can pick up a few inches from it.

Yes, but many are in the believe it when they see it mode.. Guidance has been horrendous inside 48 hours lately

Well, at this point, I guess it's chips fall mode. Hoping for some nice scenery Sent from my Pixel 9 Pro XL using Tapatalk

We got about 4" here, but man... Was it heavy. Before I went to work this morning at 8:00, I shoveled what we had which was just under 2 in ( just the front deck area off the front door ). When I got home wound up taking up the snow blower because I hadn't done the driveway. But I can tell you the second round was much wetter and heavier. I was totally surprised and not expecting what we got ( but very happy )

This thread has worn out its welcome. I suggest someone who feels lucky open a new one....we need to shake things up.

Isn’t he expected to get a plowable snow tomorrow

As disappointing as the Eagles season was, it’s gotta suck being a Bills fan.

Isn't there value in being shocked? Im in your neck of the woods. Hasn't it felt wintry since Thanksgiving? Maybe that's a low bar but I'm loving every cold day.

Yea you an old dog..lol that was before my time!

The old record long MJO phase 6 for DJF of 13 days (was during La Niña of 1998-9) will be beaten per model progs. Records go back to 1975. It started on Jan 5th and will likely end on Jan 20th or 21st meaning a 16-17 day long phase 6: https://www.bom.gov.au/clim_data/IDCKGEM000/rmm.74toRealtime.txt

Finally looked at 18z Euro. Didn't actually look east, just weaker, so the precip kinda cut back on nw side. we need to do better than a 1000 or 1002mb low

how about Wright weather Board That was my start Before Eastern