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I haven't, but I can't say I go out socializing very much. Lol I was at the Walmart last night and they literally did not have 1 gallon of milk left and shelves were half to completely empty.

Yeah I think it’s just the ptype algorithm from the vendor, no meteorologists are forecasting much IP for dc.

Welcome. Start times vary across the guidance and of course it will be snowing in DE before PA. I’d guess you’re good if you get home before 2-3am (But I’m not a met.)

Thats pure weather porn right there. Props to them for sharing.

Probably missed it, but what does the Apple app run off of? Because the GFS isn’t even that insane anymore

ORD still dropping down to -9

Ji model

I would rather be told what I do not wanna hear then be told maybe it will, maybe it won’t and you’re left with knowing nothing. .

Haven’t we been talking that the euro doesn’t resolve freezing rain to sleet correctly or as well though?

People here in dc are so confused, my co worker INSISTS Richmond is getting two feet. People here think we’re getting 12-18 inches in dc.

I imagine we'll have an Ice Storm Warning hoisted for a lot of us by this afternoon at least. Almost now-casting time w/ looking at what's going on out West, etc.

GFS is on meth lol

Just read an article that ski resorts out west are hurting for snow. As of this month Colorado statewide snowpack is @ 63% of average, with some areas recording their lowest levels in history. Officials blame a persistent high pressure ridge has blocked storms, resulting in a warmer and drier winter.

IMO a bigger disappointment than this storm having more sleet is this being the only 6+ storm during this cold stretch.

Absolutely. I'm prepared. And I don't want anyone to read my post and think we are fine. But I do think we manage this ok. But don't leave your safety up to "I think." The chance alone is worth being ready.

Thanks! Gets confusing to the public when maybe an area under a winter storm warning could get more ice than an ice storm warning, when ice is the more serious impact to prepare for

No thanks. Crazy there's gonna be almost a 100 degrees temp difference between my house in Michigan and Florida. It is pretty rare tho that y'all might see 6 inches on top of pretty decent snow depth already.

overnight RGEMs are better than overnight NAMs for this

Can we move the app talk to banter?

On a funny note I woke up to watch TWC and at 6:50 they had a box to the right with NYC at 8 to 12. Then at 7:05 the box changed to 12 to 18.

-21 Coldest morning at MSP since January 2019

Everything I am reading mentions that FR has to be the predominant precip type before anything else. I assume since there is still so much up in the air right now, this is why no warnings have been issued yet. Timing is normally 12-36 hours before the precip begins. My hunch is that for most of NC, it would be Winter Storm, but it could be Ice Storm for some of the southern regions.

If it does warm a bit, The Nam will be the first to sniff it out.

I don't know about anyone else but I have no clue the impact of that much sleet will have. I am not talking accumulations just overall impact. I remember 2007 and being able to walk on top of the snow for a week my dog was pissed. I mean think about it 5-10" of snow and then an inch of QPF as sleet into 20-25 degree temps. That's an intense storm for sure even if the totals aren't prolific

They're going to adjust that downwards almost certainly I'd think, they've already started the process of lowering totals with the new update. I can't see a widespread 12+ outside of the NW burbs