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Lean on ensembles after D5 folks…

1” in Syosset

Yes it does.

Just looking through the 12z and 18z suites....there is a very strong signal for possible two shots of cold air that could push near zero temps into our forum area. This fits with recent Nina winters. I will wait a couple of days before fully embracing that look, but for now...I would say confidence is growing that very cold air may pay us a visit. Need about 48 hours more of model runs to be sure.

Next weekend has big overrunning potential .

Check out the 18z. Further south because of the press to the north .

Just watching a pretty potent storm on the Gulf Coast get sheared into shit on the models. Unreal.

It is probably over done, but there are places in the forum that are projected to be nearly 15-20 degrees BN for a 7 day time frame. There is a 5 day time frame that is over 20 degrees BN. Incredibly impressive numbers. I have to think that we see some severe winter weather somewhere in the forum with that. Very concerned about ice.

Widespread 2-4” would be my call

It was mid 40s all afternoon here. Good to see the snow over performed where it fell.

2.8 nyack

18z GFS holds steady with its cold and wintry look.

Hard to see 4”

You know how ninas are

12/5 0.2” 12/13 2.8” 1/1 0.1” 1/17 0.4” Total: 3.5”

1.7 Jersey City heights

Been this way for a few years now… .

850 low doesn't close until it's gone.

High probability of that.

0" here

Starting to get some fog out there, 27F/DP 26F

Nope thanks to you…I’m going to double up Why is there always something always ready and available to shunt our storm south and east

Normally I would have posted something in here over the course of winter. It's just been so boring. Nothing exciting. No real heavy precipitation events, severe drought, only mediocre cold. Zero snow. Need a pattern shakeup.

anybody know what rap has been depicting?

18Z GFS through Day 12.