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6z Euro not.loading past hr57 for me.. 6z EPS is out and pretty far ots

I guess verbatim on these op runs the low is occluding very early and there’s the kicker over MN/IA but the ensembles signal is what we’re still looking for at this lead. By Thursday maybe I’d pay more attention to the op runs. Still plenty of time here to reel it in.

Chill… its edging. .

Euro Ai, squateroo

Dropped to 6.4°

So absolutely frustrating that literally all we needed was that TPV to stretch slightly farther W and we probably see a blizzard from VA to SNE. Still, rooting on folks in SE

Yes. We need this thing to keep gaining latitude like that storm did. As shown, it’s an occluded mess as Scott said.

I think for eastern shore you were pretty accurate. The gradient was approx. 2" down near Salisbury to 7" up near Chestertown.

Euros stuck at 54. Boy it must really be cooking up something good (or bad)

I still think it's coming. I don't buy 3' down into the Carolinas

Here’s the coop site

I might be over 4 feet if there’s a direct hit here depending on how much melts this week.

Definitely disappointing. On the back of this past weekend storm and with the crazy cold we have had, a huge blizzard would have vaulted this winter into rare territory and given it a chance to be one of the best ever.

Blur to nothing actually wasn’t the proper term - brain not caffeinated yet. Let’s say ambiguous?? lol. I feel pretty optimistic. Honestly just getting a decent storm on top of the 14 or so we just got plus the 2 or 3 left from the prior one would be great. Having 3 storms worth of snow on the ground has been a while.

Still a lot to be determined on track for this. Gotta give this a couple more days for outliers to wane. 06 GEFS was nice but I will not use the GFS for any winter storm with any level of confidence. Euro/EPS backed off on their 00z runs to 06z.

Spring starts at the end of March and we could use an early Spring after a winter like this. Bitter cold has been relentless.

Tomer notes high-end potential here: https://x.com/burgwx/status/2016008474656649645

6z GEFS

What a terrible 24 hours since yesterdays high We cannot seem to get prolonged heavy daytime snow in this area ever

9.3 was the low for me

79° at 8am on island if Culebra, Puerto Rico, high of 85 today. So sorry to miss this storm. I fly home late Monday so I’ll be lurking for best info possible to see what the weekend brings. Not expecting travel issues right now, but plenty of time for things to change.

6z Euro?

6z GFS finally throws that bone lol. Huge run

We know that snowfall is the most poorly measured element of weather, although I guess PWS wind measurements are right up there for different reasons. We almost need a separate thread for those of us that use a properly placed snowboard and clear using the same metrics. Your post though reminded me of many years ago, 2015 I want to say, a poster had say a 12” snowpack then reported 6” of pure fluff. The next day I asked them what their snowpack was and they said 18” and I just rolled my eyes as the odds of zero settling of fluff snow over 24 hours were zero to none. That’s not even getting into people not understanding sublimation.