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  2. Carvers Gap
    I wouldn't completely rule out something even Weds or Thurs...one scenario is a slider w/ mostly rain. Another is a similar setup, but it backs the flow as the front passes. Might be room for a slp or weak wave to ride that front.
  3. SEwakenosnowforu
    Oh, I can tell you where the dry slot will be...just look at my screen name! lol
  4. SnowGoose69
    Inside this range go with the 3km NAM/Euro/RGEM...they're going to handle this better than the GFS.
  5. jm1220
    Still damn cold but too much of a breeze to have a chance at low single digits last night.
  6. John1122
    I hope to do better than 1 inch but this being the one time the NAM is correct wouldn't shock me. Earlier this winter one of the events it kept insisting I was getting 3-4 inches until the bitter end but I got about an inch. The Euro/RGEM gave me about an inch from that one. Here we have the opposite totals but the same models disagreeing.
  7. ADB83
    That’s my preferred method. Which is why I’m riding with the ICON from 3 days ago. I just toss all the runs from the other models, including all the ones from the ICON after my favorite run .
  8. high risk
    The mean has very limited value at this range, because a few snowy ensemble members can skew it. The probabilistic output is far more useful, but I'm not sure how easy it is to find that on the web.
  9. Math/Met
    The GFS was a great run for eastern areas.
  10. Stormpc
    And it pushes a little further north into Virginia giving us a little breathing room up north.
  11. canderson
    That hockey game in State College - good luck with that tomorrow.
  12. eyewall
    I accept this run
  13. UpstateSCBud
    This. Should be common knowledge by now
  14. Carvers Gap
    We gonna run this back again next Saturday as well....0z GFS and Euro have a pronounced upslope event advertised???
  15. Birds~69
    Actually take this back. Looking at the beginning of the month, it was warmer than I remember so I guess top 26 is pretty decent....
  16. ChescoWx
    But in our current warm cycle it is quite amazing IMHO!
  17. olafminesaw
    Gorgeous. Almost the whole state at 6"+
  18. Upstate Tiger
    Whichever is best for your backyard.
  19. Weather Will
    Pi It is a blend of previous runs so it is always a step behind. But I use it when I am only half watching to see if anything is going on...
  20. BornAgain13
    So am I supposed to believe the GFS or the 3K NAM?
  21. Met1985
    A great run by the 12z gfs and along the border counties I think we see flow snow until Sunday morning. I think the models are cutting the flow off too soon. But a great run in general. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  22. John1122
    For reasons beyond me, the GFS/NAM have a major snow shadow over Southern Campbell County that suggest a downsloping effect off Cross Mountain, but I don't think the precip with this one is moving SW to NE like a typical system, but that's the direction of the drying it's trying to show. They often try that with traditional sliders where the precip is moving up from Alabama.
  23. Carvers Gap
    I was thinking maybe around 2:00PM for TRI and also a friend of mine noted this as well. I would think Knoxville is a hair later than that - I hope so, because I have one commuting!!!!
  24. franklin NCwx
    And snowing hard in the teens! The ratios will be incredible later!
  25. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Is it just me or is this product virtually useless? Every time it gets posted in here it's like a crucial step behind the good models.
  26. eaglesin2011
    Watch we will end up getting 1-3 tomorrow then 1-3 on Wednesday A nice little refresh of snow each time wouldn’t be the worst thing. Or Of course it could be nothing for the RVA area…lol
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