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84 is niiice

Snow gonna be faster coming in ..say 5 pm

25 dropsondes reportedly dropped into the low off of Southern California for ingestion into the 0Z models

No. We are in Phase 6.

Very good snow growth. Wintry appeal for sure.

I’m not buying it either for my area but I think the mix line could make it up to southern Monmouth

We are in phase 6 https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/mofc_multi_mjo_family_index?base_time=202601210000

If I had to bet I'd say the GFS will be a mix between its 18z run and the Euro's depiction

81..raking begins

How does this compare to the winter of 2014-15?

AIGFS seems to have delivered, also.

given that it had us on the northern fringe not too long ago, I'm not sure we can crown it "the most accurate" (unless that is the ultimate outcome lol)

Fair… about identical but it’s on the edge at 90. No movement at 96

I don't think 850 was our warm layer

Yup.. at 60 there were already some significant changes. By 72 heights are screaming. You could also see Baja low starting to tilt neutrally here. I honestly haven’t even looked at surface yet because upper levels don’t lie.

shouldnt they be called snowcane hunters in winter?

Looks like we lose 700 mb at 90

i mean it was the outlier south model. i figured it was coming north but lets see how much lol

How about 700mb?

sleetzille is the worst frozen marbles

Excited to decide whether GFS is the worst model of all time or the most accurate winner for this storm in about three minutes

Maybe and hour or two slower at 63...track looks similar for wave one.