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Still good!

Lol just realized this wasn't for Sunday Sent from my Pixel 9 Pro XL using Tapatalk

.5” snow would be more than I’ve had in a month. Bring it.

Daddy like.... Sent from my Pixel 9 Pro XL using Tapatalk

There is a good area of precip moving in the right direction to our west

Likely real but it will potentially take longer for the Northeast to warm up due to the tendency of CAD. I’ve been burned too many times by this setup, so now I’m careful to say it’s an instant torch for us.

What worries me is that like always it’s 10 days away. Weve had many near equal presentations for that type of time frame in the last month

I think weather AI is going to develop some sort of self selection bias at some point to keep us happy and just start spitting out Day After Tomorrow solutions on each run, in July even.

How is that not warm and fuzzy? snow is snow lol Sent from my Pixel 9 Pro XL using Tapatalk

Show us the dirty pics

Why are the cooling rates in your chart different? Your own faulty analysis. Comparing the raw data at individual Chester County sites to the Philadelphia Airport shows very good agreement in warming rates; i.e, the Philadelphia airport is warming at the same rate as Chester County. Well known that averaging over a changing network skews the data. If the station network cools with time then a simple average of the changing network will underestimate warming. That's exactly what is happening in your charts.

Lemme catch you up: there was a 5-10” storm on the 18z gfs… It’ll disappear in about 3 hours on the next OP run and weenies will jump off ledges. Meanwhile, Cape bashes his head into a wall for having to repeat that people should be looking at ensembles this far out. You’re caught up. Now go drink

Well at least we get mood flakes for watching football tomorrow. I would like a few inches to cover the mess that has been left behind that last week (stupid oak leaves that have no idea to fall two months ago, neighbors dog crap, that smooth ice patch on a partially cleared path that will help an orthro surgeon retire)but it looks like I might be asking for too much.

Well...

Euro AI is like 12-15" of cold powder verbatim

long way away but the globals all seem to like Jan 24-28 for a few chances at a significant snowstorm

End of January is one of the best looks we’ve had since 2017-18. If we don’t score one significant storm out of this everything is broken

This looks like a +PDO winter map, almost like 2014-15.

NCDOT ...why the heck are we brining I40?!?!

only beat ya because i'm working it. Very quick convective hitter, with a snow/pellet mix.

If it's enough to cover the grass then that's a boom scenario in my view.

C'mon man we can't really see what's gonna happen after that, lol

Sipping on a bottle of 2022 cellar-aged Bell's Expedition Stout. Really aged nicely....mellow, balanced, smooth.