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looks like ~7.3 or so, don't short yourself lmao.

Yea there seems to be a deamplifixstion trend in the 84 to 96 hr time-frame. If we can survive that this time, then we're golden.

Once we get to 84-96 hours, I’m sure we’ll see a reshuffling of models. No idea which way it’ll go.

After 12z run probably. Gotta get rid of the superstitious studs dawg. Embrace the thrill!

I drove from Annopoils area to Fenwick Island del this morning. Your area seems to have been the jack.

This weekend looks like we could see record breaking cold

close to 6 inches here all 3 events combined

its gonna be a big dog for many. Just hope that includes us

suppression depression. dont wanna think of it, but ya have to. 1048 HP is stoud and likely the bully on the block. Hopin it has a little give and as we see things trend back north that we get back into the goods.

6z GEFS was a beauty. Most of northern East TN in the 6+ mean. Some huge dogs showing 20"+ skewing it some though.

you should start the weekend storm thread ASAP not just because of the snow threat BUT also the incredible arctic airmass that will be in place starting later this week through the weekend.....and once we get past a certain number of pages break it up into part 2 - part 3 etc. etc. like we did for the 2010 Boxing day storm who's thread was started well in advance

Ben Noll being optimistic now lol

Yeah it’s a wet snow but drier than I thought. If that makes sense.

Taking my 2.5” from overnight with a smile. (That’s what she said?)

Unfortunately, that's the whole list from 1950-present.

Last night around 1am And today now that we’re getting some blue sky .

I read that way to fast just now I thought that said your son is 71 Lmfao need more coffee

My dad got a better view over in Wisconsin .

@The 4 Seasons 1.3" in the morning and 2.6" last night. 3.9" total. (just a trace on Saturday after sunset)

You got your snow last week. Time to let someone else in on the aciton

This would actually make sense. I've been watching winter storms forecast across the mid-south turn into Kentucky maulers (80% of the time) for over 50 years now.

Holy Crap!! I Almost Jacked!! I ALMOST Jacked!! 7"!! MOST SNOW I’ve Seen since February of 2022! And of COURSE I was Home almost 2 1/2 Months just waiting for Snow, get Screwed like I’ve never been screwed time after time, and Now I LEAVE to LA Tomorrow! Can Only Enjoy 36 Hours of this. WTF. 15.25” Season.

@high risk would have a better explanation, but usually if the models are struggling with surface temps while everything else looks normal, it is something to do with how they are implementing approximations via a boundary layer scheme. Global and regional models simply can't calculate everything, so you effectively end up with little "models" inside of models. Models have always struggled with how to calculate the mixing and radiative transfer near the surface in stable conditions. The Euro is handling this poorly, which is how you get a minus teens forecast for parts of Virginia next week, which is not going to happen. I think it is even struggling with temps in the pre-storm period on Saturday, given the much colder surface temps than the GFS despite only 1° difference at 925mb. I'd just be cautious with any surface temp output from the Euro right now.

That weekend storm is got me licking my chops! .