All Activity

@The 4 Seasons4.75" Final yesterday into this am 7 1/2" on the weekend.

I'd rather have rain than ice. Shift it north or south, please.

With an overrunning set up like this and that intense arctic boundary couldn’t we expect a more robust precip field at go time than modeled? It’s certainly not meager by any means but given this set up, wouldn’t it be at least likely we see more QPF produced at go time? I haven’t looked at Dews during this time though so I’m sure that would play a factor .

The iPhone weather app. I have no idea where they’re getting those numbers from. It is best not to tempt normies with these speculative forecasts because they will spread it like wildfire.

Suspect we'll have the typical wax on / wax off windshield wiper suprssed / crushed run to run or model to model through Wed AM before honing in.

But, even if the baja ull sits and ejects in pieces or is delayed to come out, there are several chances between the 24th and Feb 3ish in this pattern.

Canadian does have better score of late than GFS which is last

Got to add this one:

On the 12z CMC, we see a slight weakening of the hp to the NW of the storm by 3-4mbs. Maybe that is a trend towards the AIFS???

im torn between anything or 14+ / go big or go home.

If it keeps to its schedule from last night, Euro AIFS should start up around 12:15.

CMC is a crusher .

1 run is not a trend .

Good point, to be honest the Canadian showed a “middle ground” outcome. Could’ve been a HECS in all honesty lol. Just another model run but damn.

Yea it's a foot in city more as you go south

Haha. Same. I just don't even bother to strike it out anymore. I just assume folks see the error in my ways and politely move along!!!

CMC precip distribution looks similar to the AI’s

GFS bringing the baja ull out for something around the 28-29 timeframe. Takeaway....if storm 1 fails, we still get chances.

I'll ask him. He lives near Boston so I'm guessing its for Boston area but for Sunday, January 25 it says 15-18" for total snowfall for the day

i think youre in the wrong thread, i do that all the time lol

Yeah that wasn't my intention. The potential to create a powder bomb is certainly there. I would feel better if the 10°F was 20°F, but it's certainly on the table.

This is an absolutely ludicrous run. Basically drops 30+” areawide for the 10-day period starting on the 24th.

I am showing 24hr liquid because of higher ratio's and its 100% snow - do the fiquring for your location at say 10:1 15:1 or 20:1 ?