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12k NAM gets some zr into the area Sat/Sun. Would be an ok hit if we didn’t torch at 850

The long term trend with the model guidance is our friend. What model at range depicted a cold and decently snowy December? Weren't we supposed to have temps in the 50s and 60s from Xmas to the end of the month? I had snow this morning with temps in the low 20s lol. This has been happening since mid August. Not concerned. Atmospheric memory and shit.

That’s more the case for Pittsburgh and the Alleghenies. Climo wise Philadelphia proper is practically an extension of ME MD.

I'm jealous. Part of me wanted to head out there for this, especially with the wife and kids out of town. I'm riding solo for a few days.

you’re not missing anything, as it’s not really accumulating much out west here at home.

I mean, when i see the MJO and the GAAM in spring coupled with each other id be getting excited with severe weather if the MJO was into phase one or two,its just not coupled right now,but this winter we have gotten our cold when the AAM is positive not negative,what you are seeing now

I think he means Philly.

Not necessarily. The snow-belt regions off the eastern lakes can get tremendous amounts of snowfall when we get very little or nothing.

Good luck Brett. Just effing with you.

What do you mean by the last sentence jax?

Lamar was a full participant in practice today. LFG! Lets just hope Monken doesnt think this is a signal to go pass happy again. Pound the fucking rock first and foremost. Do that and some big downfield pass plays will be available. Problem is he has shown no ability/patience to do this all season, unless Huntley-who is a limited downfield passer- has started the game. (ofc they won both easily by running).

Stacking Ls

I just dont think BAM is right. This winter we see the tropical forcing is more or less has been into the WP/MC,its kinda opposite of what he says. You can actually look when East Tn got its early season snow was when the GAAM was positive and not negative.The GAAM should still sync up with the MJO to couple with it.

Can someone please put Greta's face on that nice lady? Is that even possible?

Looking at upstream observations. Some freezing drizzle being reported at YNG.

GaWx thanks for your input & coming into this forum sharing.

Big fan of any sort of junk, early morning junk is good as well, big fan! Hopefully it causes disruption and chaos... I'm all in!!

That’s a beautiful pattern for up here

Send some salt up this way. We just walked the dog around our neighborhood. Glare ice most of the way. My town DPW sucks.

Its been pretty impressively cold, much colder than the model guidance continued to indicate at range. Sound familiar? Been happening since mid August lol. Why I'm not worried going forward.

Are we sure this uptick in winds isn't the result of the new Vaisala WMT-702 ultrasonic Ice-Free Wind Sensors?

I mean if a pattern is going to be bad for us it’s almost always bad for them too.

Sir this is a PG-13 forum.

Luckily no one actually bought into this massive retrograding west based block

Im in this little screw zone