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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
SouthCoastMA replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
.40" MTD: August 1st - August Steinteenth -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
Typhoon Tip replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
some clever research assistant - if hasn't already happened - will gain their master's theses approval by demonstrating that there is a statistically significant occurrence of pattern return state that features ridging about 1/5th the distance around the Globe, downstream of these oceanic quasi or semi permanent warm regions ... and why. Hint, the answer is NOT because the ocean is driving the pattern. It seems to me ...well, I'm curious to see, if that repositioning ( which I noticed myself just yesterday - ), means an end to the rich recurrent -EPOs us winter enthusiasts have enjoyed during these cold seasons since the 20teens. Great. accelerating CC, on top of which there is a super warm ENSO blossoming, while there "might" be a signal that stems the N/A cold conveyor source. Forky's startin' to look like a genius. LOL -
Climate Reanalyzer "looks" like the curve is about to do a cliff dive during these 4-weeks heading into the climo nadir. That's one data source - no claim as to its accuracy or how well it jives with what others use. If the former is clad, it will be interesting to see if that dive happens and the curve catches up enough to be in the top 5 lowest. The AO index is supposed to be modestly negative, which is somewhat of a warm signal up there.
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Perfect.
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
Damage In Tolland replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Yup another Steiner except SW CT -
Some of the models are quite wet again for tomorrow but southern areas seem favored
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57 years ago this week, 124 people died in Nelson County from the remnants of Camille.
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
dendrite replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Min 65.0° Summer pattern continues on the hrrr. Frontal convection dies north and west of us today and then the south coast gets dumped on tomorrow night while it’s light showers up here. Lock it in. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I know...uncharted territory. I think that season has some surprises in store. -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
Typhoon Tip replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Today may feel "hot" Looks like 89's are possible but DPs slipping into the mid or low 60s may neutralize the HI. It's light wind under unobstructed still warm to hot sun vibe. These opportunities for maintenance summer heat are slipping away tho, now that we're out of solar max so if one is a summer enthusiast best take in the moments. The typical attempt to realize summer once it is too late in early September is showing up in guidance. Mentioned this the other day and there it is. The deep range signals (indices) along with a couple of Euro/GFS op. runs, are right on queue. 594 dm heights in the first week of the month. It will bring about non-historic but still irritating heat, and an utter block of any tropical. Perfectly wrong from what most want - haha -
We've had 90 degree days in early October so still plenty of time to roast.
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
weatherwiz replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Its medium-sized I'd say...maybe even just a bit below -
Got a surprise half inch of rain overnight.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
bluewave replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
This was the first time that such a record WPAC warm pool was able to get pushed this far east. - Today
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White Marsh
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Nice night for sleeping with the doors and windows open. Low here of 47, 50's closer to the lake with some mid-30's in the traditional cooler spots (36 Doe Lake). Sunny low-70's on tap today with another cool night before some rain hopefully arrives later this week.
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I wonder who will win. Frederick Glen Burnie
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Lake Harmony just got a snowfall observer starting with the 2020-2021 season. You guys do pretty well there. The elevation really helps out. Looks like 1995-1996 was just ahead of 1993-1994 for the top snowfall spot. But there wasn’t a Lake Harmony observer back then. Data for October 1, 2020 through April 30, 2021 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. LAKE HARMONY 2.4 WNW CoCoRaHS 77.4 Data for October 1, 2021 through April 30, 2022 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. LAKE HARMONY 2.4 WNW CoCoRaHS 41.0 Data for October 1, 2022 through April 30, 2023 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. LAKE HARMONY 2.4 WNW CoCoRaHS 48.5 Data for October 1, 2023 through April 30, 2024 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. LAKE HARMONY 2.4 WNW CoCoRaHS 48.7 Data for October 1, 2024 through April 30, 2025 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. LAKE HARMONY 2.4 WNW CoCoRaHS 48.2 Data for October 1, 2025 through April 30, 2026 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. LAKE HARMONY 2.4 WNW CoCoRaHS 60.4 Data for October 1, 1995 through April 30, 1996 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. HOLLISTERVILLE COOP 135.4 PLEASANT MOUNT 1 W COOP 125.5 LONG POND POCONO LAKE COOP 117.8 PAUPACK 1 WSW COOP 117.1 HONESDALE 4 NW COOP 104.5 WILKES-BARRE/SCRANTON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 98.3 Data for October 1, 1993 through April 30, 1994 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. HOLLISTERVILLE COOP 132.1 LONG POND POCONO LAKE COOP 115.8 PLEASANT MOUNT 1 W COOP 106.3 SHICKSHINNY 3 N COOP 92.9 HONESDALE 4 NW COOP 92.5 WILKES-BARRE/SCRANTON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 90.4
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then why did the mother state that she killed her kids?
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yea, I'm going through all of that stuff now for my update...crazy. -
After the weekend debacle, I’m not sure if that means much.
