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Smoke has vanished in Vienna.
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Saturday, July 18, 2026 Thunderstorm/Severe Weather Potential
weatherwiz replied to weatherwiz's topic in New England
18z HRRR pretty ominous -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
canderson replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
A SPC 45% damaging wind probability is … high Next Tuesday to me even looks like a higher chance of severe. Have a Death Cab For Cutie concert at Merriweather Tuesday night and already and making plans to not go. -
Yeah, northern edge has pushed south into eastern PA and NJ. WV looks relatively clear. But a firehose of smoke pointed right at central MD
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Looks like MD has the worst of the plume on vis sat.
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Big time boom or bust potential tomorrow. It all hinges on how fast can we clear out after the warm front lifts through
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Enhanced severe risk as well
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Flood watch issued for most..city on west
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95/85 feels like 126. I think that is the highest feels like I have recorded. Walked outside and my glasses fogged over.
- Today
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Your Modoki Nino composite has cool anomalies in the east greater than warm anomalies in Nino 4. That's not accurate. Actually, a Modoki Nino typically has no negative anomalies anywhere in ENSO. +0.4c max in the west vs -0.6c max in the east is not an El Nino. -
Just eyeballing out my office window, it had improved a bit around 11am-12pm but has gotten thicker again since
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
wxmeddler replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Smoke can do a bunch of stuff but the two things that you see most often are: 1. Smoke can create differential heating on smoke vs. non smoke areas. Causing pseudo surface cold fronts. 2. Mid/Upper level smoke can absorb sunlight and transfer that energy to the surrounding environment; creating warmer mid-levels while also reducing surface heating. Both combined makes caps more robust than would otherwise be expected.- 1,035 replies
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
JTA66 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Pass. I threw out a crap ton of groceries the other week after the power outage. Can't afford to keep doing so -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
LakePaste25 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Jet extension is going full steam in the southern hemisphere winter, with copious amounts of snow in the Andes: -
BWI VIS at 2mi. Not a huge improvement.
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Will CAE finally reach 100? They’ve already reached 99.
