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Stackin' pennies

Back down to 32

Yes. I agree. I think the window.Is 1/28-2/1. If (IF) the long range modeling is correct. Then after 2/1 I, think the EPO floodgates open and entire CONUS goes mild for awhile

-6 850's area is one and HRRR guidance is another

Snowing hard in Hillsborough, can’t believe I got to see some!

Almost chips pushing time

Radar, temperatures, and the HRRR model which has been a little faster moving elements than is actually happening but otherwise accurate. WX/PT

Finally a dusting, took a whole hour but hopefully we’re off to the races now lol

Which model verified best for today’s event in your eyes? I feel like the Euro AI did really well but I may be wrong.

for once i agree with you lol. 2-3 for most tonight-take it and run

32.4°..should be ok to accumulate going forward

Folks. . .

2021 we had a memorable storm drop around 12 inches at MDT I believe from 1/31 into 2/1.

Nearest reading to mi casa in Mattapoisett is down to 32.9. Sticking must be happening and the radar's been solid there since I left. 34 here in PVD.

Yeah, I was thinking several hours ago we could get an extra 3-5", but looks like precip forecasts have backed down?

Getting some visible snow mixing in with the rain here in Bon Air. .

Hop so-the HRRR is a bit east of my liking

None. Most models have an additional 2" for NYC. Just light snow here, as it's been on and off for the past 4 hours or so with minimal accumulation. Mainly white rain along the shoreline too. Would take heavy snow in order to overperform the 2-4" that was expected

WCB stuff currently south of LI was never gonna hit us anyway with any real force unless maybe clipping the cape. It’s all about the stuff to the west of that blossoming.

The 12z EPS(normally very conservative and known as the ultimate Dr No) has this...big high over the top and active STJ. Definitely an eye opener from an ensemble at 150. By Tuesday evening, short range models should have this. Some streamers on the EPS arrive on Friday and the last does not depart E TN until Monday.

Euro just swings the MJO through Phases 7, 8, 2, 1 with a tanking -AO, marginal NAO, +PNA, and -EPO. It's like the stars are trying to align.

What indicators could suggest this?